LA Dodgers at Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Tips, Free Pick
Date:
August 11, 7:05 pm
Location:
Citizens Bank Park
TV:
ESPN
Betting Odds
Moneyline:
LAD -130/PHI +120
Total:
10un -113
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The Phillies continue their quest for their first playoff appearance in 10 years when they host the Dodgers for the middle game of a three-game set in Philly Wednesday night. Newcomer Kyle Gibson gets the call for the home team here against lefty David Price for the visitors. Who do we like here for <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/free-mlb-picks" title="Expert MLB Picks">today's free MLB pick</a>?
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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Wednesday's <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/odds" title="MLB Odds from Multiple Sportsbooks">baseball betting odds</a> opened LA at around -125 over Philly, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Dodgers to -135, and that total to 10. Los Angeles could also be found getting around +110, giving the run and a half on the run line.
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<h2>
Dodgers-Phillies MLB Betting Preview<br />
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<p>
Los Angeles took the opener of this series Tuesday night 5-0. That game was tied at 0-0 through four innings into a lengthy rain delay. Both teams then went to their bullpens, and the Dodgers scored five runs over the last five innings while Philadelphia scored none. LA won as a -140 betting favorite with Max Scherzer, and the game played under a total of 8.5 runs. With Tuesday's win, Los Angeles is 6-2 over its last eight games. At 68-45 overall, the Dodgers trail division-leading San Francisco by four games in the NL West, but they also lead the National League wild-card race by three games over second-place San Diego. But LA also needs 35 more wins over its last 49 games to play over its season wins over/under, which was 102.5, the highest in Baseball. Meanwhile, Tuesday's loss snapped an eight-game winning streak for the Phillies. At 59-54 overall, Philadelphia now leads the NL East by one game over second-place Atlanta. Philly only needs 22 more wins over its last 49 games to play over its wins O/U, which was 80.5. This series is the second meeting between these two teams this season; back in June, the Dodgers took two of three low-scoring games from the Phillies at Dodger Stadium.
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<h2>
Wednesday's Pitching Match-Up<br />
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<a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/48304" title="Kyle Gibson Pitching Stats">Gibson</a> is an impressive 15/21 on quality starts this season and 2/2 since coming to Philadelphia in a trade with Texas two weeks ago. Last Friday, he held the Mets to one run and four hits through six innings of a 4-2 Phillies victory, and over his previous three starts, he's allowed just six runs – five earned – and 13 hits through 18 2/3 innings, although he's also walked 14 guys (!) over that span. The Rangers, who are 33 games under .500 on the season, played 10-9 with Gibson, and the Phillies are 2-0 with him. In his most recent start against the Dodgers, in August of last season, Gibson got touched for five runs and three home runs through five frames of a 7-2 Texas defeat. <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/39862" title="David Price Pitching Logs">Lefty Price</a> is 0/8 on quality starts this year, to go along with 21 appearances in relief, pitching on a short leash. Last Friday, he held the Angels to two runs and four hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 4-3 Dodgers loss. But over his last four appearances, he's given up nine runs – eight earned – and four home runs through 16 1/3 innings. LA is only 2-6 with Price this year, although that mark should probably be a game or two better. Over two appearances earlier this season against Philadelphia, Price allowed no runs and two hits through 1 2/3 innings.
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<h2>
Splits With the Sticks<br />
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Los Angeles is batting .251 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .343 team OBP and a .429 team slugging percentage. But the Dodgers could be down two key sticks Wednesday, with both Justin Turner and Mookie Betts listed as questionable. Philadelphia is slashing .254/.333/.425 against left-handed pitching. But both Rhys Hoskins and Andrew McCutchen are also listed as questionable. Bettors might want to check the lineups before getting down on this game.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1361956">Dodgers vs. Phillies 8/11/21 Game Matchup Stats</a></span>
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</ul>
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
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The Dodgers bullpen owns a 3.55 ERA this season, along with a 1.27 WHIP and a 2.49 K/BB ratio. The Phillies pen owns a 4.57 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a 2.32 K/BB ratio.
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<h2>
MLB Betting Trends<br />
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The Dodgers are 32-25 on the road this season.
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The Phillies are 34-22 at home.
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The Dodgers are 47-33 against right-handed starters this season.
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The Phillies are 17-19 against left-handed starters.
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The Dodgers are 27-28 as road favorites against the run line this season.
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Totals Report<br />
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Totals are split 54-54 in Dodgers games this season. Overs are 58-54 in Phillies games. Unders are 28-26 in games played at Citizens Bank Park this season.
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Dodgers vs. Philies Prediction 8/11/21
We'd give Gibson an edge in the pitching match-up, but his most recent outing against Los Angeles was not good. From there, we're calling the splits with the sticks a push, but we give the Dodgers a solid check-mark in the bullpen comparison. After all, that's where Tuesday's game was decided. So we like LA here for our free baseball betting pick for Wednesday.
Free Pick:
Take the Dodgers -140
