<p>
Following a rain-out Wednesday night, the Astros and Yankees take another shot at playing Game 4 of this American League Championship Series Thursday night in the Bronx. Houston leads this series 2-1, after taking Game 3 Tuesday, but New York is lined as a small home favorite for Game 4. How are we playing this game for our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
MLB playoff betting odds opened New York at -130 for Game 4 over Houston, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped that total to 8.5.
</p>
<h2>
Astros vs. Yankees Game 4 Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
After splitting the first two games of this ALCS down in Houston, the Astros took a 2-1 series lead with a 4-1 victory Tuesday night. Houston won Game 3 as a -160 post-time favorite with Gerrit Cole, and the game played under a total of 7.5 runs.
</p>
<p>
In fact, the under has hit in all three games in this ALCS, as these two teams have combined to score just 17 runs total.
</p>
<p>
With Tuesday's win, the Astros are 5-3 in these MLB playoffs.
</p>
<p>
With Tuesday's loss, New York is 4-2 in these playoffs.
</p>
<p>
Houston took the regular-season series from the Yankees this year four games to three.
</p>
<div class="promo">
<p>
<strong>Bet your MLB Playoff Games </strong> at a sportsbook where your credit card will work for depositing and where if you deposit $100 you get an additional $100 FREE! --> <a class="advblue" href="javascript:GoTo(Intertops)" title="Intertops">Intertops Sportsbook</a>.
</p>
</div>
<h2>
Game 4 Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
This pitching match-up is a rematch of Game 1 of this ALCS, a 7-0 New York victory.
</p>
<p>
Tanaka, by our strict standards, is 16/33 on quality starts this season and one for two in these American League playoffs. Last Saturday, in Game 1 of this ALCS, Tanaka tossed six innings of one-hit, shutout ball in that 7-0 Yanks win. And one week before that, in that ALDS against Minnesota, he allowed just one run and three hits through five innings of an 8-2 Yankees victory.
</p>
<p>
Going back into the regular season, Tanaka has allowed just four runs – three earned – and 13 hits through his last 21 innings.
</p>
<p>
For the season, New York is 21-12 with Tanaka, 3-0 over his last three starts.
</p>
<p>
Over three starts against the Astros this season, including Game 1 of this series, Tanaka allowed just three runs and 12 hits through 18 innings. The Yankees won two of those three games.
</p>
<p>
Greinke is 23/33 on quality starts this year but 0/2 in these playoffs. Last Saturday, in Game 1 of this series, he gave up three runs and seven hits, including two home runs, through six innings of that 7-0 Houston loss. And ten days ago, in that ALDS against Tampa Bay, he got bopped for six runs and three home runs through just 3 2/3 innings of a 10-3 Astros defeat.
</p>
<p>
Going back into the regular season, Greinke has allowed 13 runs and 21 hits, including six dingers, over his last 23 innings.
</p>
<p>
Houston is 8-4 with Greinke this year, but 0-2 over his last two starts.
</p>
<p>
Over three starts against New York this season, two back while he was still with Arizona, Greinke allowed six runs and 14 hits through 18 2/3 innings. His teams lost two of those three games.
</p>
<h2>
Game 4 Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Houston batted .274/.349/.492 against right-handed pitching during the regular season. But those numbers have dropped to .225/.296/.374 in these playoffs, as the Astros have scored a total of 26 runs through eight playoff games.
</p>
<p>
New York batted .265/.336/.484 against RH pitching during the regular season, and it's batting .258/.349/.463 against righties in these playoffs, as the Yankees have scored 33 runs through six postseason games. However, Giancarlo Stanton missed Games 2 and 3 of this ALCS with a bad quad, and he's iffy for Game 4.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Yankees bullpen posted a 4.08 ERA this season and a 1.32 WHIP while allowing a .729 OPS. New York relievers have since allowed seven earned runs and 16 hits through 28 2/3 innings of work in these playoffs.
</p>
<p>
The Astros pen posted a 3.75 ERA this year and a 1.20 WHIP while holding foes to a .694 OPS. Houston relievers have since allowed 11 ER and 27 hits through 22 1/3 innings in these playoffs.
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Houston finished 47-34 on the road this season.
</li>
<li>
New York finished 57-24 at home this season.
</li>
<li>
Houston played 68-44 against right-handed starters this season.
</li>
<li>
New York played 70-41 against RH starters this season.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders played 84-71 in Astros games this season.
</li>
<li>
Overs played 84-72 in Yankees games this season.
</li>
<li>
Totals are split 5-5 in Yankees-Astros games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders played 44-35 in games played at Yankee Stadium this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1210764">Astros at Yankees MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>
<p>
Astros at Yankees Prediction 10/17/19
</p>
<p>
We're giving Tanaka the edge in the pitching match-up, and with other factors basically equaling out, we like New York to take Game 4 for our free MLB playoff pick here.
</p>
<p>
Take the Yankees -130
</p>