Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick 6/18/19

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick 6/18/19

Darin Zank
Date: June 18, 9:40 pm
Location: Chase Field
TV: Sportsnet Rocky Mountain

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Diamondbacks -145/Rockies +135
Total: 10

<h2>
<span style="font-size: 12px;">Both the Rockies and Diamondbacks are three games over the .500 mark heading into the opener of a three-game NL West rivalry series Tuesday night in Phoenix. Who do we like here for our free MLB pick?</span><br />
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<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
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<p>
Tuesday's MLB betting odds opened Arizona at around -135 over Colorado, with an over/under of 10 runs. Early betting action then bumped that spread to -145.
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<h2>
Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Set-Up<br />
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<p>
Colorado just split four games at home with San Diego over the weekend, losing Sunday's series finale 14-13 by blowing a three-run lead in the ninth inning. The Rockies then had Monday off.
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<p>
Just before that Colorado took two of three games at home from the Cubs. So the Rockies are 4-3 over their last seven games.
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Arizona, meanwhile, just split four games at Washington over the weekend, losing Sunday's series finale 15-5. The D'Backs then also had Monday off.
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<p>
Just before that Arizona took two of three games at Philadelphia, and just before that they took two of three in Toronto. So the Diamondbacks are 8-3 over their last 11 games.
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<p>
At 37-34 Colorado is tied with 38-35 Arizona for second place in the NL West, 10 games behind the division-leading Dodgers. But the Rockies and Diamondbacks are also tied with St. Louis for third place in the NL wild-card race, two games back of the Phillies and Cubs.
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<p>
Colorado leads the season series with Arizona five games to two.
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<h2>
Tuesday's Starting Arms<br />
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<p>
This pitching match-up is a rematch of a game played back on May 28 of this season, a 6-2 Colorado victory at Coors Field.
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<p>
Kelly, by our strict standards, is 6/14 on quality starts this season, working on a run of three in a row. Last Wednesday he held the Phillies scoreless on three hits through seven innings of a 2-0 Diamondbacks victory. And over his last three starts, he's allowed just two runs and 12 hits through 22 1/3 innings.
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<p>
Arizona is 7-7 with Kelly this season, 3-0 over his last three starts.
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<p>
In his only career start against the Rockies, three weeks ago in Denver, Kelly allowed four runs and seven hits through 6 2/3 innings of that 6-2 Diamondbacks defeat.
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<p>
Senzatela is 5/12 on quality starts this year, and three for his last four. Last Wednesday he got knocked around for eight runs – six earned – through four innings of a 10-1 loss to the Cubs. But over his three starts previous to that he allowed just four runs and 17 hits through 18 innings.
</p>
<p>
Colorado is 7-5 with Senzatela this season, 3-1 over his last four starts.
</p>
<p>
Over his last four starts against Arizona, one this year and three last year, Senzatela allowed 11 runs and 24 hits through 24 1/3 innings. The Rockies split those four games.
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<h2>
Tuesday's Batting Splits<br />
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<p>
Colorado is batting .265/.327/.457 against right-handed pitching this season.
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<p>
Arizona is batting .241/.310/.429 against RH pitching this season.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Rockies bullpen owns a 4.43 ERA this season and a 1.38 WHIP.
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<p>
The Diamondbacks pen owns a 4.39 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Overs are 37-31 in Rockies games this season.
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<li>
Overs are 36-34 in Diamondbacks games this season.
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<li>
Unders are 16-11 in games played at Chase Field this season.
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<li>
Unders are 8-5 with Kelly this season.
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<li>
Overs are 4-3 in Rockies-D'Backs games this season, although all those games were played in Denver.
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</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1078718">Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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</ul>
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Rockies at Diamondbacks Prediction 06/18/2019

Kelly gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but Colorado owns an edge with the bats. With other factors evening out we see betting value here with the Rockies at the underdog price.

Free Pick: Take the Rockies +135
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