Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Odds Analysis - Free MLB Picks
Betting Odds
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The 57-46 Cleveland Indians travel to Boston for a three-game series against the 57-49 Red Sox. The first pitch of the opener at Fenway Park is scheduled to be thrown at 7 PM ET.
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The road team is the favorite tonight with the Indians asked to lay in the -128 to -134 range on the money line. The over/under line for this game is a consensus 10.5 runs.
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In their last game, the Indians lost to the Chicago White Sox 3-1. In that game, the Indians scored one run on eight hits and the White Sox scored three runs on four hits. Cleveland gave up walk-off HR in the bottom of the 9th inning to take the loss.
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In their latest, the Red Sox lost to the Kansas City Royals 5-3. In the contest, the Red Sox scored three runs on nine hits and the Royals scored five runs on 12 hits. Boston gave up four runs in the 8th inning after being up 3-1.
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This season the Indians rank 9th in the Majors in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.
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The Red Sox rank tied for 11th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<p>
Cleveland: Mike Clevinger (5-3, 3.20 ERA)<br />
Boston: Doug Fister (0-5, 7.46 ERA)
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Mike Clevinger takes the hill for the first game of this series and in his last outing he was not sharp giving up five earned runs in four innings, but the lineup had his back in an 11-7 win over the L.A. Angels. The Indians have won three of his last four starts and previous to his last start he had not given up an earned run in two straight outings. Clevinger has never faced the Red Sox and in seven road starts on the season he is 4-1 with a solid ERA of 2.15. The Indians are 5-2 in his last seven starts overall and they are also 5-2 in his last seven road starts.
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Doug Fister gets the nod tonight and in his last outing he gave up two earned runs in two innings in a 6-5 loss to the Seattle Mariners. He is back in the rotation after the injury to David Price, who is on the 10-day DL, and in his last start he was lit up for six earned runs on seven hits in only four innings in an 8-6 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. Boston has only won one of his five starts this season and in those starts he went 20 innings and gave up 19 earned runs. In 16 career starts against the Indians while Fister was with a Detroit Tigers he was 5-4 with an ERA of 3.13.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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In the last 7 games between these teams the Under record is 5-1-1.
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In the last 4 games between these teams in Boston the Under record is 3-0-1.
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This season the Red Sox are 30-20 at home and the Indians are 29-22 on the road.
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<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
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Cleveland Indians: 57-46 SU / O/U 40-56 / Run Line W/L 45-58<br />
Boston Red Sox: 57-49 SU / O/U 47-45 / Run Line W/L 52-54
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<h2>
Cleveland at Boston Key Betting Trends<br />
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CLE is 9-1 in their last 10 overall
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CLE is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record
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CLE has an Over record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games
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BOS is 2-6 in their last 8 overall
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BOS is 15-7 in their last 22 games following a loss
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BOS has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games
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<h3>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<b>INDIANS</b><br />
[P] 04/09/2017 - Cody Anderson 60-day DL (04/02) ( Elbow )<br />
[RF] 07/14/2017 - Lonnie Chisenhall 10-day DL (07/14) ( Calf )<br />
[2B] 07/09/2017 - Jason Kipnis 10-day DL (07/09) ( Hamstring )<br />
[P] 07/30/2017 - Boone Logan 60-day DL (07/20) ( Side )<br />
[P] 07/30/2017 - Josh Tomlin left last game, "?" for next scheduled start ( Hamstring )
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<b>RED SOX</b><br />
[SS] 05/28/2017 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 05/28/2017 - Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 06/16/2017 - Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )<br />
[2B] 07/30/2017 - Dustin Pedroia "?" Monday vs. Cleveland Indians ( Knee )<br />
[P] 07/28/2017 - David Price 10-day DL (07/28) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 07/10/2017 - Robbie Ross Jr. 60-day DL (07/10) ( Elbow )<br />
[P] 07/15/2017 - Joe Kelly 10-day DL (07/12) ( Hamstring )
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Cleveland Indians vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction July 31/2017
The Indians had their nine-game win streak snapped in their last game and they are in first place in the AL Central with two-game lead over the Kansas City Royals. They had totaled 66 runs in the nine-game streak before only scoring one run in their last game. Cleveland is led by their pitching staff and in their last five games they have not given up more than four runs. The Red Sox have lost six of their last eight games and with the Yankees recent six-game winning streak, which was snapped in their last game, the Red Sox have fallen into 2nd place in the AL East ½ game back of New York. They have only totaled 15 runs in the six losses in their last eight games. Clevinger has been solid on the season and while he is coming off a rough outing he will have a good outing tonight against the struggling Boston lineup. On the other side of the coin Fister will not have a good outing, as Cleveland will hit him hard in this game, get the win, and send the Red Sox to another loss.