Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Darin Zank
Date: April 30, 10:10 pm
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: NBCS

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Cubs -135/Mariners +125
Total: 8.5

<p>
The Cubs are warming up while the Mariners are cooling, heading into the opener of a quick two-game inter-league series between the teams Tuesday night in Seattle. Which way do we go with our free MLB pick here?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Tuesday's MLB betting odds opened Chicago and Hamels at around -135 over Seattle and Hernandez, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
</p>
<p>
The Cubs could also be found getting around +110 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
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</div>
<h2>
Cubs vs. Mariners Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Chicago just took two of three games in Arizona over the weekend, winning Sunday's series rubber match 6-5 in 15 innings. The Cubs then had Monday off.
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<p>
Chicago is 4-0 over its last four series and 11-4 over its previous 15 games. At 14-12 overall the Cubbies trail first-place St. Louis by three games in the NL Central.
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<p>
Seattle, meanwhile, just split four games at home with Texas over the weekend. The Mariners won the first two games against the Rangers but lost the last two by scores of 15-1 and 14-1. They also then had Monday off.
</p>
<p>
Seattle is 1-3-1 over its last five series and 5-11 over its last 16 games. At 18-13 overall the Mariners are now tied for the lead in the AL West with Houston.
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<p>
This series is the first meeting between these two teams since 2016 when the Cubs took two of three games from the M's at Wrigley Field.
</p>
<h2>
Tuesday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Hernandez, by our stringent standards, is only 1/5 on quality starts this season, but it came his last time out, last Wednesday, when he held San Diego to one run and three hits through seven innings, although Seattle lost that game 1-0. Through his first four starts of this season, Hernandez gave up 10 earned runs through 18 1/3 innings.
</p>
<p>
Nonetheless, the Mariners are 3-2 with the King this season.
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<p>
This will be Hernandez's first start against the Cubs since 2016, when he held them to two runs through five innings, although Seattle lost that game 7-6.
</p>
<p>
Lefty Hamels is 3/5 on quality starts this season and three for his last four. Last Wednesday he gave up three runs on three hits and six walks through 5 1/3 innings of a 7-6 Chicago victory over the Dodgers. And over his three starts previous to that he allowed just three runs and 13 hits through 21 innings.
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<p>
The Cubs are 4-1 with Hamels this season.
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<p>
This will be Hamels' first start against the Mariners since 2017 when over four starts while with Texas Hamels allowed 10 earned runs through 25 innings. The Rangers split those four games.
</p>
<h2>
Tuesday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Chicago is batting .264/.358/.451 against right-handed pitching this season.
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<p>
Seattle is batting .276/.378/.531 against left-handed pitching this season.
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<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Cubs bullpen owns a 4.39 ERA this season, along with a 1.53 WHIP and a 102/57 K/BB ratio.
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<p>
The Mariners bullpen owns a 4.78 ERA, with a 1.52 WHIP and a 122/65 K/BB ratio.
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<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 14-12 in Cubs games this season.
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Overs are 20-9-2 in Mariners games this season.
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<li>
Overs are 9-6-1 in games played at T-Mobile Park this season.
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<li>
Overs are 3-2 in Hamels' starts this season.
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<li>
Unders are 3-2 in Hernandez' starts this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1075463">Chicago Cubs at Seattle Mariners MLB Match-Up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Cubs at Mariners Prediction 04/30/2019

Chicago is playing the better ball as of late, and Hamels gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up. So we're betting the Cubs Tuesday night. And we like chasing the better price with visiting favorites against the run line, so we'll give the run and a half at +110.

Free Pick: Take the Cubs -1.5 +110
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