Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Game 1 Odds - Free Pick
Betting Odds
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It’s the 93-69 Boston Red Sox versus the 94-67 Cleveland Indians in the first game of the ALDS in Cleveland, Ohio on October 6th. The first pitch at Progressive Field is scheduled for 8 PM ET.
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In their last game of the regular season the Red Sox lost to the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1. In the game Toronto starter Aaron Sanchez only gave up one run on a solo HR and two hits overall in the game. In the Indians season finale they beat the Kansas City Royals 3-2. In that game Cleveland starter Josh Tomlin had a solid outing and the Indians broke a 2-2 tie in the 8th with a sacrifice fly ball.
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The Red Sox lost five of their last six games of the regular season including their last two. Their poor ending cost them, as the Indians surpassed them for home field advantage in this series. Boston is the highest scoring team in the Majors and they rank 9th in team ERA.
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The Indians closed out the season with a three game sweep over the Kansas City Royals. They rank 5th in runs scored and 7th in team ERA.
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<h2>
Pitching Match Up<br />
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<strong>Boston: </strong>Rick Porcello (22-4, 3.15 ERA)
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<strong>Cleveland: </strong>Trevor Bauer (12-8, 4.26 ERA)
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Rick Porcello goes for the Red Sox in this game and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 5-3 win over the Blue Jays. Boston won six of his last seven starts including his last three. The Red Sox are 25-8 in Porcello’s last 33 starts and they have won his last four starts on the road. In his lone start this season against the Indians he faced them at home going five innings and giving up two earned runs in a 5-2 Boston win.
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Trevor Bauer gets the starting nod for the Indians and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 6-3 win over the Kansas City Royals. Cleveland won his last two starts of the season. The Indians won eight of Bauer’s last 11 starts on the season and have won six of their last seven home games with him on the hill. In the first game of the season he pitched one inning of relief against the Red Sox giving up two earned runs in one inning and in his only start against them he gave up four earned runs in five innings in a 9-1 loss at Boston.
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<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
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The Indians are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Red Sox.
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In the last 4 games between these teams the Under record is 3-0-1.
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This season the Indians are 53-28 at home and the Red Sox are 46-35 on the road.
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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
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<strong>Boston Red Sox</strong>: 93-69 SU / O/U 77-78 / Run Line W/L 83-79
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<strong>Cleveland Indians</strong>: 94-67 SU / O/U 80-70 / Run Line W/L 75-86
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<h2>
Boston at Cleveland Key Betting Trends<br />
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BOS is 11-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
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BOS is 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
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BOS has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
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CLE is 41-16 in their last 57 home games.
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CLE is 36-17 in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
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CLE has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 games.
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<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
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<strong>RED SOX</strong>
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[P] 09/07/2016 - Steven Wright out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
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[2B] 06/17/2016 - Josh Rutledge 60-day DL (6/15) ( Knee )
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[P] 06/07/2016 - Carson Smith 60-day DL (5/15) ( Elbow )
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[C] 06/06/2016 - Blake Swihart 60-day DL (6/5) ( Ankle )
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[P] 04/04/2016 - Brandon Workman 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
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[3B] 05/03/2016 - Pablo Sandoval 60-day DL (4/11); out for season ( Shoulder )
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<strong>INDIANS</strong>
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[LF] 06/01/2016 - Marlon Byrd out for season ( Suspension )
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[LF] 05/14/2016 - Michael Brantley 60-day DL (5/10); out for season ( Shoulder )
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[P] 09/13/2016 - Danny Salazar out indefinitely ( Forearm )
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[P] 07/18/2016 - Tommy Hunter 15-day DL (7/10) ( Back )
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[P] 07/07/2016 - Zach McAllister 15-day DL (7/6) ( Hip )
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[P] 10/03/2016 - Corey Kluber expected to start Friday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Quad )
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[P] 10/01/2016 - Carlos Carrasco 60-day DL (9/17), out for season ( Hand )
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Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians Prediction
Even though the Red Sox did not finish the season well they enter Game 1 as the betting favorite even on the road. They do have 22-game winner Porcello on the hill, but the potent Boston lineup struggled ending the season only scoring 17 runs in their last six games. On the other side of the coin in their last three games the Indians totaled 16 runs. Bauer really pitched poorly in the month of September, but was decent in his last outing in the beginning of this month. The difference in this game will be the Cleveland offense, as they will get to Porcello and the Indians will take the first game of this series.