Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Prediction - Odds Analysis

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Prediction - Odds Analysis

Rich Crew
Date: May 17, 7:10 pm
Location: Fenway Park
TV: NESN

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Red Sox -172 / Orioles +150
Total: 9.5 runs

<p>
In their last game, the Baltimore lost to the Philadelphia 4-1 on the back of a fantastic performance by Phillies starter Nick Pivetta. Pivetta allowed just one earned run over seven frames striking out 11. The Orioles will look to regain the scoring punch that saw them score 58 runs over their previous seven games. The loss was Baltimore's second in their last seven games, but they now hit the road for a three-city road trip where they’re a dismal 3-16 on the season.
</p>
<p>
In their latest match, the Red Sox beat the Oakland A’s 6-4 taking the lead in the bottom of the first and never relinquished it. The victory put an end to a two-game slide and evened up their record over the last ten games to 5-5.
</p>
<p>
This season the Orioles rank 21st in runs scored and 28th in team ERA and the Red Sox rank 2nd in runs scored and 9th in team ERA.
</p>
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</p>
</div>
<h2>
Pitching Match-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Baltimore: Kevin Gausman (3-2 3.18 ERA)<br />
Boston: David Price (3-4 4.89 ERA)
</p>
<p>
In Gausman’s last start he gave up two earned runs over seven innings allowing 11 hits in a 9-4 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles have won two of his last three starts, and over that span, he has thrown 22 innings allowed three earned runs. This is Gausman’s first start of the season against the Red Sox, and in his career facing them, he is 4-6 with an ERA of 3.83. Baltimore has lost four of his last five road starts.
</p>
<p>
In Price’s last start he gave up two earned runs on five hits in five innings in a 5-2 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox had lost his previous three starts where he pitched a combined 15 innings and allowing 16 earned runs. This is Price's first start of the season against the Orioles, and in 25 career appearances facing them, he has an ERA of 2.81. Boston has won Price's last four starts against the Orioles.
</p>
<h2>
Betting Angles<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Red Sox are 6-0 in their last six games against the Orioles.<br />
The Red Sox have won all three games facing the Orioles this season.
</p>
<h2>
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Baltimore Orioles: 13-29 SU / O/U 21-21 / Run Line W/L 17-25<br />
Boston Red Sox: 29-14 SU / O/U 21-21 / Run Line W/L 20-23
</p>
<h2>
Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
BAL is 17-48 in their last 65 games
</li>
<li>
BAL is 14-38 in their previous 52 road games
</li>
<li>
BAL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games against a right-hand starter
</li>
<li>
BOS is 29-13 in their last 42 games
</li>
<li>
BOS is 20-8 in their previous 28 games following a win
</li>
<li>
BOS has an Under record of 5-2 in their last seven games
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Key Player Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
<b>ORIOLES</b><br />
[P] 05/11/2018 - Chris Tillman 10-day DL (05/11) ( Back )<br />
[P] 05/09/2018 - Darren O'Day 10-day DL (05/07) ( Elbow )<br />
[LF] 04/07/2018 - Colby Rasmus 10-day DL (04/07) ( Hip )<br />
[SS] 05/02/2018 - Luis Sardinas 10-day DL (04/29) ( Back )<br />
[SS] 04/26/2018 - Tim Beckham 60-day DL (04/24) ( Groin )<br />
[P] 04/25/2018 - Gabriel Ynoa 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shin )<br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Zach Britton 60-day DL (02/15) ( Achilles )
</p>
<p>
<b>RED SOX</b><br />
[SS] 03/26/2018 - Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 03/26/2018 - Steven Wright 10-day DL (03/26) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Austin Maddox 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br />
[P] 03/30/2018 - Tyler Thornburg 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )<br />
[2B] 03/29/2018 - Dustin Pedroia 10-day DL (03/29) ( Knee )<br />
[P] 05/15/2018 - Hector Velazquez 10-day DL (05/14) ( Back )<br />
[P] 05/15/2018 - Carson Smith 10-day DL (05/15) ( Shoulder )
</p>

Orioles at Red Sox Prediction 5/17/18

Orioles vs. Red Sox Prediction 5/17/18

Baltimore has lost six straight away from home to bring their road record to an embarrassing 3-16 on the season. They have been playing better though with five wins over their last seven games and excluding previous night; their scoring production was solid in that stretch scoring five or more runs in five of the six past games. Gausman may not have great career numbers against the Red Sox, but he was close to brilliant in his last two in 2017 versus them allowing zero runs over 15 2/3 innings. Boston's starter Price has been subpar since he opened the campaign with two quality starts failing to get the QS in his last six outings. The team has won just one of his last four, and the team that broke out of the gate 17-2 is .500 over their previous 24 games. This pick is indeed no lock considering the Orioles road woes, but I'm taking a shot on the Birds plus the money.

Free Pick: Take the Baltimore Orioles +140
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