Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick

Darin Zank
Date: June 12, 7:05 pm
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: NBCS Philadelphia

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -140/Diamondbacks +130
Total: 9.5

<p>
After splitting the first two games of this series the Phillies and Diamondbacks meet for a rubber match Wednesday evening in Philly. Which way are we going here for our free MLB pick?
</p>
<h2>
MLB Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Wednesday's MLB betting odds opened Philadelphia at around -145 over Arizona, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then dipped that line down to -140.
</p>
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</div>
<h2>
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Arizona took the opener of this series Monday night 13-8, but Philly grabbed Tuesday night's contest 7-4. The Diamondbacks cashed in as +120 underdogs on the MLB betting line Monday, while the Phillies won as -140 favorites Tuesday.
</p>
<p>
Also, Monday's game flew over a total of 10 and Tuesday's game played over a total of nine.
</p>
<p>
Tuesday's loss snapped a five-game winning streak for the D'Backs. At 35-33 overall Arizona trails the division-leading Dodgers by 10 games in the NL West, but it's also just three games back of the Cubs in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.
</p>
<p>
With Tuesday's victory, Philly is 5-2 over its last seven games. At 38-29 overall Philadelphia is tied with Atlanta for the lead in the NL East.
</p>
<p>
This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year the D'Backs took the season series from the Phillies four games to two.
</p>
<h2>
Wednesday's Starting Arms<br />
</h2>
<p>
Eflin is 7/12 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Last Friday he held Cincinnati to two runs – one earned – and four hits through 6 1/3 innings of a 4-2 Philly victory. And over his last three starts, he's allowed five ER and 16 hits through 16 innings.
</p>
<p>
The Phillies are 6-6 with Eflin this season, but only 1-3 over his last three starts, although that's not all his fault.
</p>
<p>
This will be Eflin's first start against Arizona since 2016, and that's already a long time ago.
</p>
<p>
Kelly, by our stringent standards, is only 5/13 on quality starts this season but two for his last two. Last Friday he held Toronto to one run and three hits through seven innings of an 8-2 Diamondbacks win. And 10 days ago he held the Mets to one run and six hits, with 10 strikeouts, through 7 2/3 innings of a 7-1 Arizona victory.
</p>
<p>
The D'Backs are 6-7 with Kelly this season, 2-0 over his last two starts.
</p>
<p>
This will be Kelly's first-ever start against Philadelphia.
</p>
<h2>
Wednesday's Batting Splits<br />
</h2>
<p>
Arizona, which has hit nine home runs in this series so far, is batting .240/.311/.421 against right-handed pitching this season.
</p>
<p>
Philadelphia, which has hit six homers in this series, is batting .241/.322/.417 against RH pitching this season.
</p>
<h2>
The Bullpens<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Diamondbacks bullpen owns a 4.20 ERA this season and a 1.38 WHIP.
</p>
<p>
The Phillies pen owns a 4.25 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP.
</p>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 33-32 in D'Backs games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 35-30 in Phillies games this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are a combined 14-9 in games started by Eflin and Kelly this season.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 20-16 in games played at Citizens Bank Park this season.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1078283">Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Match-up Stats </a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Diamondbacks at Phillies Prediction 06/12/2019

Philly may own a short edge in the pitching match-up, but with other factors equaling out, we see betting value with Arizona at the underdog price. So we're going with the Diamondbacks for our free MLB pick here.

Free Pick: Take Arizona +130
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