Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Pick

Darin Zank
Date: August 11, 4:10 pm
Location: Dodger Stadium
TV: MLB

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Dodgers -215/Diamondbacks +195
Runline: LAD -1.5 (-113)
Total: 8

<p>After splitting the first two games of this NL West rivalry series the Dodgers and Diamondbacks play a rubber match Sunday afternoon at Chavez Ravine. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?
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<h2>MLB Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Sunday's MLB betting odds opened LA at around -240 over Arizona, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Early betting action then dropped that line down to -215.
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<p>The Dodgers could also be found at around -105 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.
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<h2>Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Set-Up</h2>
<p>Arizona rallied late to take the opener of this series Friday night 3-2, cashing in as a +160 underdog on the MLB betting line. Los Angeles then won Saturday's game 4-0 as a -165 favorite.
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<p>Also, both those games played under their totals.
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<p>With Saturday's win, the Dodgers are 6-1 over their last seven games.
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<p>With Saturday's loss, the Diamondbacks are 5-2 over their last seven games.
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<p>At 78-41 overall Los Angeles leads the NL West by 18 games over 59-58 Arizona, and it's now nine games up on Atlanta in the battle for the best record in the National League.
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<p>Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks may be way back in the divisional race, but they're only 2.5 games behind Washington and Milwaukee, who are tied for the lead in the National League wild-card race.
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<p>The Dodgers lead the season series with Arizona nine games to five.
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<h2>Sunday's Starting Arms </h2>
<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/48084&quot; title="Hyun-Jin Ryu Pitching Logs">Lefty Ryu</a> is coming off a short stint on the DL to make his first start 12 days. On the season, by our strict standards, he's a shiny 18/21 on quality starts, and working on a run of five in a row. Last time out he held Colorado scoreless on three hits through six innings of a 5-1 LA win, and over his last five starts he's allowed just four runs – two earned – and 25 hits through 32 2/3 innings.
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<p>The Dodgers are 16-5 with Ryu this season, 5-0 over his last five starts.</p>
<p>In two starts this season against the Diamondbacks Ryu allowed just one run and seven hits through 13 innings. LA won both those games.
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<p><a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/pitcherlog/40019&quot; title="Mike Leake Pitching Logs">Newcomer Leake</a> is 12/23 on quality starts this season, 0/1 since joining Arizona in a trade with Seattle. In his first start for his new team Tuesday he gave up three runs – two earned – and 11 hits through 5 1/3 innings of an 8-4 Arizona victory. And over his last three starts, two with the Mariners, he's allowed 11 runs – eight earned – and 30 hits through 18 innings.
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<p>Seattle, a team that's 22 games under .500 on the season, went 11-11 with Leake this year, and the D'Backs are 1-0 with him.
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<p>This start will be Leake's first against the Dodgers since 2017 when he was with St. Louis.
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<h2>Sunday's Batting Splits </h2>
<p>Arizona is batting .284/.347/.432 against left-handed pitching this season.
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<p>Los Angeles is batting .261/.343/.477 against right-handed pitching this season.
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<h2>The Bullpens </h2>
<p>The Diamondbacks bullpen owns a 4.39 ERA this season and a 1.33 WHIP while allowing a .735 OPS.
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<p>The Dodgers pen owns a 3.95 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP while allowing a .699 OPS.
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<h2>Totals Report </h2>
<ul>
<li>Overs are 57-54 in Diamondbacks games this season.</li>
<li>Unders are 59-55 in Dodgers games this season.</li>
<li>Unders are 32-26 in games played at Dodgers this season.</li>
<li>Overs are 7-6 in Diamondbacks-Dodgers games this season.</li>
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<p><section></p>
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/mlb/matchup/1082028">Arizona at LA Dodgers MLB Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Prediction 8/11/19

Ryu gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, and Los Angeles receives the check-mark in the bullpen comparison. So we like the Dodgers here. But we don't like that price. So we'll take a chance and play LA against the run line.

 

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers on the Run Line
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