NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

Detroit has all the momentum. As mentioned they enter this game with wins in five of their last six. In comparison Minnesota has a single win in their last five games. They should have all the confidence in the world facing a team that they have already defeated this season on the road. The Lions are on a roll at home winning four straight with the only loss this season at Ford’s Field by one point to the Titans in an injury filled game in Week 2. The host is undervalued.

The fact that this game is being played in Mexico City could actually benefit the Raiders, who are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season when they are not playing at the Oakland Coliseum. The only concern could be their even 2-2 record when closing as favorites.

Both teams come into this game with winning records, but I still give the clear edge to Oakland in a SU win. While the Raiders have had little problem scoring points lately, I am going with the OVER 46 as my “best bet” with both teams having success lighting up the scoreboard this Monday night in an effort to put on a show for a neighbors to the south.

Green Bay has found ways to turn things around in the past and despite its current form you would have to think that it can still turn things around this season starting with a SU win on the road this Sunday. Just about every one of the Redskins’ games this season has remained tight to the final gun (win or lose) and this matchup has the makings of another close finish.

Look for Aaron Rodgers to play one of his better games this season as the Packers rally to get that much needed win.

The Seahawks appear to be rolling right now as they have lost only 1 game in their last 7. They also have one of the best home field advantages, a surging QB and a defense, while not the elite unit of seasons past, that can still get the job done when it is needed. I expect Wentz to have trouble with the noise and this defense and for Wilson to continue his hot play. The number is less than a converted TD and I expect Seattle to stay on their course to the playoffs.

Miami is playing well right now and a 2nd-straight game in California won’t affect them. Tannehill has responded well to the tutelage of HC Adam Gase over the past month and Ajayi is punishing defenses. On the flip side, the Rams have scored 10 points or fewer in their last 3 games. Gurley is finding no room and the passing game lacks dynamic performers. With the spread a non-factor, I like the Dolphins to get their 5th-straight win this weekend.

Over the past 4 weeks these two teams have combined for 1 win, 1 tie and 5 losses (Arizona had a bye). Minnesota still has a decent defense but they are starting to wear down due to attrition and knowing they have little margin for error. The Cardinals have scored 23+ points in 4 of their past 5 games as they can run and pass the ball, although with some inconsistency. This is a must-win game for both clubs so I expect desperation to play a big part in the outcome. I’ll side with the visitor in this one as they have many more weapons on offense and are playing a little better as of late.

The Giants are ever more vulnerable for an overreaction after pulling off the sensational win on Monday night for national audiences. Generally the winner of a Monday night is a public favorite the following week and we are seeing this take shape with Big Blue. The Giants also own wins over Philadelphia, New Orleans and Baltimore at home so there is a high level of expectation when the G-Men are home. As a result of a surge of New York successes coupled with some appalling defeats of Chicago, the varying directions in the stock of both teams is guiding the number here. Given the Bears 0-5 road record, the Monsters of the Midway are poised to be the next sacrifice to be witnessed at MetLife Stadium. Steady steam on New York suggests that Chicago cannot be bought for any price which actually plays in to our favor. The Giants are not a good enough team even if they have the victories and the offense in sync to back up this price. The Giants’ offense is still suspect and given the fact they can easily have an off night, more than a touchdown is way too much to spot here.

We are going to take a contrarian angle and fade a heavy lean that is most likely the result of a reaction to what transpired on Monday Night. The loser of the Monday Night game is often a popular fade in the corresponding week. However, Cincy could have easily won the game as fast as they lost it. While the record for the Bengals is tough to stomach, bettors should be abreast of the fact that the Bengals are 2-1 at Paul Brown Stadium, this year. Buffalo rightfully so should be casted as an underdog in this affair as this team has accumulated at least 25 points in the last three games and still could not find a way to finish off with a victory. Buffalo’s offense is still prone to stalling at any given point as they had immense trouble getting their rushing attack started. While Cincy’s defense may roll out a red carpet, Buffalo’s defense seems to be even more accommodating.

The Saints have flourished ATS as underdogs this season and they appear to be playing their best ball on the road. Carolina’s inconsistencies from one week to the next have made this team a betting nightmare this season.

Conventional wisdom might dictate that the Panthers even the score this Sunday following the earlier loss in New Orleans, but I still like the Saints’ chances to keep this a three point game either way. I will take the four points on the road and bank on New Orleans staying perfect ATS this season as underdogs.

The Bengals have not played up to expectations this season, but they still have the ability to score points behind a very balanced offense. The Giants have played much more consistent the past three weeks, but this remains a team that can quickly go off the rails at a moment’s notice.

I think a well-rested Cincinnati team is actually in perfect position to take advantage of a New York team that could be poised for a letdown after almost blowing last week’s lead. Take the points and take the Bengals on the road in a game I have them winning SU. Note: The line has since moved to Bengals -1, but David still thinks that their is value in backing Cincinnati. 

The line is no fluke, Pittsburgh has a robust home field advantage especially when the games are of significance later in the season. The book has taken in this in to consideration and that’s why the price is what you see here. This market is no gift and is likely fool’s gold for any that dare touch it. Dallas has won seven games but some of those wins could have easily been losses, i.e. Philadelphia. Needless to say the Cowboys may be stepping in to a situation where they are facing an opponent looking for a staple win this season as a lot of hype and scrutiny followed the Steelers in to this season after they were seemingly heisted of a Super Bowl berth last year due to an injury to Antonio Brown by way of the antics of Cincinnati’s Vontae Burfict. Pittsburgh will enter this contest hungry and perhaps expose the Dallas secondary who has been filled to the brink with all kinds of injuries. An offense-oriented game favors the Steelers as Pittsburgh’s could be the best in the game when firing at all cylinders.

The Falcons are playing very well right now, especially on offense. In wins over Green Bay and Tampa Bay over the past 2 weeks, they have put up 76 points. Ryan is playing at a very high level compared to Wentz and I expect his play to be the difference in this outcome. With the spread being only 1 point, I see Atlanta improving to 5-1 on the road this season.

No matter where we turn here there is juice required at any wager. The mere fact the most juice comes on Houston outright or Jacksonville with a point and a half, suggests that the market is extremely sharp in this market and that the books are taking a stance on this game. We want no part of juice but even if Jacksonville were to lose this game, there is more equity in reducing our overhead by 12% taking the Jags outright than playing it safe and taking back a point and a half. Bottom line, Houston has lost three games on the road this year and that is where all their troubles have piled up this season. Jacksonville is hungry for a win and they know they can beat good teams as they took down Indianapolis earlier this year in London. The Jags have also defeated Chicago on the road to name their other win on the year, so this team has a great chance to be a live pooch when none suspect them.

The Packers didn’t seem ready to play last week and Rodgers wasn’t shy about letting everybody know it. They gave up a return TD on the opening kickoff and never recovered. Conversely, the Titans gave up 2 TDs on offense last week and lead the NFL with 7 return TDs allowed. I expect Green Bay to bounce back in this game and for the offense to come in focused. Tennessee’s run defense collapsed last week (208 yards), a bad sign for a team trying to stay in a division race (which they are still in). The Packers know their division is wide open and they can’t afford another letdown this week. The number is less than a FG and I expect Rodgers to be the difference in this contest.

This matchup has the potential to be as exciting as watching paint dry with two of the lowest scoring offenses in the league squaring off against one another. A low-scoring grinder would keep the Browns in this game deep into the fourth quarter, so I would be a bit leery about laying that many points in a division rivalry.

What I do feel good about is a play on the UNDER 45 in a game that will struggle to cross the 40-point mark when it comes to the total score.

Buffalo’s weaknesses on both sides of the ball have been exposed in its last two games and without McCoy in the backfield its biggest strength has been greatly diminished. I have been saying that the Seahawks are one of the most overrated teams in the NFL and they proved me right in their last two games.

I would have to lean towards the Seattle getting the SU win on its home field, but when it comes to betting on this game I am going with the UNDER on the current 44-point total line.

Sunday night will be a huge test for Oakland in its effort to finally turn the corner and legitimately compete with Denver for the AFC West title. Unfortunately, the Raiders have been a different team at home verses the one that is undefeated on the road this year.

Given that this game is still on the board as a PICK, I am going with Denver to draw first blood in the season series behind a defense that has the ability to contain Carr and the Raiders’ passing game.

San Diego is 2-1 SU at home with their only blemish being a 35-34 loss to New Orleans. Rivers and the rest of his mates play much better at home and need this win to stay in playoff contention. With their 3 division rivals sitting 6-2, 6-2 and 5-2, they can’t afford a loss to a team on their level. The Titans have proven to be a tough out in 2016 but haven’t defeated a team with a winning record. I think Rivers will bounce back from a poor effort last week and give the Chargers a badly-needed win at home.

This game features two QB-driven teams that are overly reliant on their QBs to produce wins. The Colts o-line simply doesn’t pass protect well enough forcing Luck to scramble or throw ill-advised passes. I look for the Packers defense to give Luck multiple looks and amp up the pass rush to force him into quick decisions. After a slow start, Rodgers has found his groove and always plays well at home. Green Bay is 4-0 SU at home this season and has won every game by 7+ points. If they get a few players back from injury, they should have no problem getting a win and putting pressure on the division-leading Vikings.

During San Francisco’s 6-game losing streak, they have lost 5 games by 12+ points and 4 of them by 17+ points. They just aren’t competitive as they have experienced a huge talent drain over the past few years. New Orleans has scored 25+ points in 5 of their 7 games and I expect them to reach that total again this week. With the number being only a FG, I have no problem backing a Saints team that has won 3 of their last 4 outings.