Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders Betting Odds - Total Pick

David Schwab
Date: November 21, 8:30 pm
Location: Estadio Azteca Stadium
TV: NBC Sports Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oakland -5.5
Total: 46

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The Houston Texans and the Oakland Raiders take Monday Night Football ‘South of the Boarder’ to Mexico City for this big AFC showdown between division leaders. Kickoff from Estadio Azteca is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET) and the game will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.
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Houston at Oakland Game Overview<br />
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Houston has forged a game and half lead in the AFC South heading into Week 11 with a straight-up 6-3 record in its first nine games while going 5-3-1 against the spread. Following last Sunday’s 24-21 victory against Jacksonville as a 2.5-point road underdog in a game that went OVER the closing 42-point line, the total has now gone OVER in four of the Texans last six games. They head into this matchup with a 1-3 record this season when closing as underdogs.
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Free agent quarterback Brock Osweiler has not been the answer in Houston with a passing offense that is ranked dead last in the NFL in yards per game (187.3), but this offense has been able to run the ball behind another free agent Lamar Miller with an average of 121.4 yards, which is ranked fifth. The Texans’ defense has been plagued with major injuries all season long, but it remains stout in average yards allowed (317.4) while holding teams to 20.9 points a game.
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Oakland has been one of the biggest stories in the NFL this season with its 7-2 SU run to the top of the AFC West and it has also been a solid betting team at 6-3 ATS. Heading into last week’s bye, the Raiders extended their current winning streak to three games (SU and ATS) with a 30-20 win at home against Denver as slight one-point home favorites. The total line in that game went OVER 44.5 points and it has gone OVER in five of their last six games.
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One of the main reasons while Oakland is one of the top teams in the AFC this season is the play of its quarterback Derek Carr. He has completed 66.1 percent of his 354 passing attempts for 2,505 yards while tossing 17 receptions against just three interceptions. Amari Cooper is the team’s leading receiver with 58 catches for 843 yards and two scores. The numbers on defense do not look nearly as good with the 28th most yards allowed (398.0) and a 24.8 points-allowed average that is ranked 24th in the league. Penalties have also been a concern as they continue to pile up on both sides of the ball.
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Houston at Oakland Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Texans have failed to cover in eight of their last nine Monday night games and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games following a SU win.
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The Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 conference games , but they fall to 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games played on Monday night. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games following a bye week.
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Head-to-head in this AFC tilt, the road team has covered in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of those four games.
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Houston Texans at Oakland Raiders Prediction

The fact that this game is being played in Mexico City could actually benefit the Raiders, who are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season when they are not playing at the Oakland Coliseum. The only concern could be their even 2-2 record when closing as favorites.

Both teams come into this game with winning records, but I still give the clear edge to Oakland in a SU win. While the Raiders have had little problem scoring points lately, I am going with the OVER 46 as my “best bet” with both teams having success lighting up the scoreboard this Monday night in an effort to put on a show for a neighbors to the south.

Free Pick: Take the Over 46
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