Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Odds - Free Pick

Keith F
Date: November 13, 1:00 pm
Location: EverBank Field
TV: NBC Sports Network

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Houston -1.5
Total: 42

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The Houston Texans (5-3) will travel to Jacksonville, Florida to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6) at EverBank Field on Sunday, November 13 with a scheduled kick-off at 1:00 PM ET. The game is a pivotal AFC South contest for both squads. The contest is set to be aired on CBS on selected regional markets. Houston has won the last four against the Jaguars and most recently owns a 30-6 win against the Jags in January of 2016. Houston currently sits at the top of the AFC South while the Jaguars are in the basement.
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The Texans come in off a 20-13 win against the Detroit Lions in Houston, last Sunday. The Texans were able to curtail a very potent and lively Detroit offense by virtue of their traditionally sound defensive exploits.
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The Jaguars continue to struggle despite yielding some exceptional talent in their ranks. The Jaguars own just one win on American soil this year, as the other came against the Colts in their home away from home in London when they defeated the Indianapolis Colts. The Jags have lost their last three and are currently in off a 19-14 loss against Kansas City, last week.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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85% of the public like the Texans spotting the points on the road from the home dogs Jacksonville. To take Jacksonville against the spread, a little more juice is required at -115 as opposed to markets inviting action on Houston at +1.5 -105. In Money Line markets, 80% of the consensus continue to favor the road favorite Houston at -117, opposed to taking the Jaguars with reduced juice overall at -103. Currently in Over/Under markets, the Total Line is sitting at 42 with 93% of the public liking the Over in this contest.
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Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars Prediction

No matter where we turn here there is juice required at any wager. The mere fact the most juice comes on Houston outright or Jacksonville with a point and a half, suggests that the market is extremely sharp in this market and that the books are taking a stance on this game. We want no part of juice but even if Jacksonville were to lose this game, there is more equity in reducing our overhead by 12% taking the Jags outright than playing it safe and taking back a point and a half. Bottom line, Houston has lost three games on the road this year and that is where all their troubles have piled up this season. Jacksonville is hungry for a win and they know they can beat good teams as they took down Indianapolis earlier this year in London. The Jags have also defeated Chicago on the road to name their other win on the year, so this team has a great chance to be a live pooch when none suspect them.

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville -103
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