Nevada vs. USC Betting Preview

Date & Time: September 2, 2023

Location: To be confirmed

Point Spread: USC -38 (Bet365), USC -35.5 (5Dimes)

Total: 63.5 (Bet365)

Moneyline: Nevada +4000, USC -50000 (Bet365)

Lead-In

Nevada hits the road to visit USC in their season opener. The Trojans are heavy favorites, with Bet365 setting a -38 point spread and a total line of 63.5.

Comprehensive Statistical Analysis

Overall Team Stats (Last Season)

• Nevada Points/Game: 16.8 (#121)
• USC Points/Game: 41.4 (#5)
• Nevada Yards/Game: 289.2 (#126)
• USC Yards/Game: 506.7 (#3)

USC dominated last season in both scoring and yardage, ranking 5th and 3rd respectively. Nevada struggled significantly, ranking outside the top 100 in both metrics. This sets the stage for a potentially lopsided affair.

Yards Per Point, Pass, and Rush

USC's differential of -5.2 in Yards Per Point indicates efficiency, as they require fewer yards to score compared to what they allow their opponents. Their differential of 4.87 in Yards Per Pass suggests their passing game could be a major factor in this game. However, their negative differential of -2.62 in Yards Per Rush indicates room for improvement in their running game.

Conversion and Scoring Percentages (Last Season)

• Nevada 3D Conversion %: 35.59% (#92)
• USC 3D Conversion %: 53.57% (#2)
• Nevada RZ Scoring %: 79.31% (#94)
• USC RZ Scoring %: 85.71% (#43)

USC shines in critical situations, ranking 2nd in 3rd down conversions and 43rd in red-zone scoring. Nevada will need a strong defensive plan to counter this.

Turnovers and Penalties (Last Season)

• Nevada TO Margin/Game: +0.2 (#50)
• USC TO Margin/Game: +1.5 (#1)
• Nevada Penalties/Game: 5.6 (#51)
• USC Penalties/Game: 6.3 (#77)

USC excels in turnover margin, which could be a crucial factor in this game. Penalties could be an issue for USC and an area where Nevada might gain some ground.

Kicking and Other Metrics (Last Season)

• Nevada FG Conversion %: 73.33% (#75)
• USC FG Conversion %: 68.18% (#102)
• Nevada TOP % (excl OT): 47.22% (#103)
• USC TOP % (excl OT): 53.25% (#22)

While both teams have average field goal conversion rates, USC has a distinct advantage in Time of Possession, which could help them control the game's pace.