Atlanta gets our handicapping check-marks in the pitching match-up, the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. So obviously we like the Braves. But we don’t like that price. So in noting that nine of Atlanta’s 11 wins with Morton this season came by at least two runs we’ll take a chance and play the Braves against the run line.
 

Tyler Wells holds the advantage in the pitching match-up, and although the Los Angeles Dodgers may have a slight edge with their hitting, the Baltimore Orioles possess a slight advantage in the bullpen comparison. Therefore, it's understandable that the odds have shifted in favor of the Orioles. Additionally, after Monday's game slipped away from them, we expect the Orioles to bounce back with a strong performance on Tuesday night. Therefore, our free MLB pick is to bet on the Baltimore Orioles.

In the pitching match-up, Logan Gilbert holds the edge, and the Mariners have a slight advantage in the bullpen comparison. Although the Twins have a slight edge in hitting, we expect the Mariners to make a strong push and eventually secure a playoff spot, while the Twins may begin to fade. Therefore, my free MLB pick is to bet on the Seattle Mariners for Monday night's game.

Considering the pitching match-up, Javier holds the edge due to his previous success against the Angels this season, despite his recent struggles. Furthermore, the Astros possess a superior bullpen compared to the Angels, even though Saturday's game didn't go their way. Both teams are missing key offensive contributors, making the lineups relatively even. After a disappointing loss in the previous game, I expect the Astros to bounce back and deliver a strong performance on Sunday night. Therefore, my free MLB pick is to bet on the Houston Astros.
 

Considering Senga's recent form and Gonsolin's struggles, the pitching match-up favors the Mets. However, the Dodgers hold an edge in hitting and overall team strength. As a pennant contender, the Dodgers are the better team in this match-up, while the Mets have been struggling. Therefore, for Saturday's free baseball betting pick, we lean toward the Los Angeles Dodgers.
 

Burnes gets the checkmark in the pitching match-up because he’s been so much better than Ashcraft against these opponents. From there Milwaukee is also 10 games over .500 against RH starters. And while Cincinnati’s been on a nice run it can’t keep playing .750 ball. We’re betting on the Brewers Friday night.

Neither starting pitcher deserves a betting recommendation at the moment, and the offensive splits look even. However, San Francisco gets a solid check-mark in the bullpen comparison. Considering the Giants' ability to find ways to win games and the Mets' struggles, we’re siding with San Francisco for Sunday night's game.

Tampa Bay owns a three-game winning streak while Seattle owns a three-game losing skid. The Rays also get our handicapping checkmarks in the splits with the sticks and the bullpen comparison. Also, Tampa is 21 games over .500 against RH starters. We’re betting the Rays Saturday night.

Gray gets our handicapping check-mark in the pitching match-up, and while Houston owns the edge in the bullpen comparison Texas owns the edge in the spits with the sticks, especially with Alvarez out. So we're riding with the Rangers Friday night.

Considering the recent performances, head-to-head matchups, and betting odds trends, the Detroit Tigers present the best value bet as underdogs at +168. Their solid form on the road and previous success against the Rangers make them an appealing pick in this matchup.

We don't know who's going to win this game, and we don't care because our pick comes down on the total. Neither of these starting pitchers deserves a checkmark because neither is going very good as of late. And both teams are banging the ball around pretty good. Cincinnati even better than Baltimore. We're a bit surprised the over/under on this game isn't higher than it is; we're betting the over on the Reds-Orioles Monday night.

Webb gets our handicapping checkmark in the pitching match-up, and while Arizona owns a short edge with the sticks, San Francisco owns a short edge in the bullpen comparison. However, when we add all that up, it doesn't seem to warrant so high a price. Betting baseball is often about betting value, and we like the value with the Diamondbacks, a team that's 16 games over .500, getting a fat underdog price. 

We give German the edge in the pitching match-up, partly based on experience and partly because we expect a bounce-back effort following a poor one last time out. From there, we also give New York the edge in the bullpen comparison while the splits with the sticks look about even, with both teams having trouble scoring runs as of late. But the Yanks are getting some production from some of their younger guys, so we are betting on the Pinstripes to sweep this series Thursday night.   

Nola owns the edge in the pitching match-up based on experience alone. But from there, Atlanta owns the edge in the bullpen comparison, while the splits with the sticks come out about even. So from what we can tell, the original line on this game was about right. We like betting value on the baseball dime lines, and we like the value here with the Braves catching an underdog price.

Wacha gets the checkmark in the pitching match-up because he's going so good as of late. From there, San Francisco owns a short edge with the sticks, but San Diego owns a short edge in the bullpen comparison. Also, after sweeping the rival Dodgers in LA, we won't be surprised if the Giants suffer a bit of a letdown over the next series or so. We're betting on the Padres Monday night.

Cease gets the check-mark in the pitching match-up, but Los Angeles owns the advantage with the sticks. Meanwhile, both bullpens are bad. Ultimately, while

Grove's struggling Chicago, despite Wednesday night's performance, might not have the bats to take advantage of him. For what might be a high-scoring affair, we're betting on the Dodgers Thursday night at a reasonable price.

Dunning gets our baseball handicapping check-mark in the pitching match-up, and while Los Angeles owns an edge in the bullpen comparison Texas owns the edge in the splits with the sticks. Also, we like betting on good teams coming off losses. So we're riding the Rangers Monday night.

The Boston Red Sox (32-33) will face off against the New York Yankees (38-28) in the rubber match of their series on Sunday night baseball. The game will take place at Yankee Stadium and will be televised on ESPN. The MLB betting odds currently favor the Yankees at -125, while the Red Sox are listed at +105. The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 runs.

In the first two games of the series, the teams split with low-scoring outcomes. The Red Sox won the opener as underdogs (+135) against Gerrit Cole, while the Yankees emerged victorious in the second game as favorites (-120) with Domingo German on the mound. Both games also resulted in going under the set totals.

The Yankees have won four of their last seven games, placing them in fourth position in the American League playoff standings with a 38-28 overall record. On the other hand, the Red Sox have struggled recently, winning only two of their last eight games and sitting tied for ninth place in the American League with a 32-33 record, trailing the sixth-place Toronto Blue Jays by 3.5 games.

This series marks the first meeting between these longstanding rivals this season. Last year, the Yankees dominated the season series, winning 13 out of 19 games against the Red Sox.

On the pitching side, the Yankees will send Clarke Schmidt to the mound, while the Red Sox will rely on Brayan Bello. Schmidt has had a limited number of quality starts this season (1 out of 13), but his recent performances have been decent. Bello, too, has shown promise lately, but the Red Sox have struggled to convert his performances into wins.

Schmidt has not faced the Red Sox in a starting role before, while Bello has made two career starts against the Yankees, pitching well despite the team's losses.

Both teams have had difficulties scoring runs in recent games. The Red Sox lineup has averaged three runs or less in seven of their last eight games, while the Yankees will be without power hitter Aaron Judge due to injury.

In terms of bullpens, the Yankees possess one of the best units in baseball, with a 2.78 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and an impressive 2.46 strikeout-to-walk ratio. The Red Sox bullpen has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a 2.56 strikeout-to-walk ratio.

Considering these factors, along with both pitchers performing well lately and the struggles both teams have faced offensively, we lean towards betting the under 8.5 runs for Sunday night's game.

We give Valdez an edge in the pitching match-up while the splits with the sticks and the bullpens come out about even. From there we find we’ve got more faith in the defending World Series champs than in Toronto, which hasn’t won anything in a long time. Plus, we like betting on good teams coming off losses. So we’re betting the Astros to earn a split of this series Thursday night.