NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS

Dallas rebounded nicely last week, but that might just make them candidates for a regression this week. Also, Tampa isn’t very good. And now the Cowboys gotta worry about their kicker; what the hell’s he thinking going into this game? San Francisco, meanwhile, had to slog it through three quarters against Seattle last week, but that might be good for them. The 49ers are starting a rookie at QB, but a QB’s best friends are a running game and a great defense, and they’ve got both. Also, for what it’s worth, the Cowboys played on the East Coast on Monday night, and now they’re playing on the West Coast on Sunday night. Might the travel and shorter rest take a toll? We’re giving the points here with the Niners.

Cincinnati got outplayed by Baltimore last week, and now they're down three starting O-linemen. Buffalo, meanwhile, is rightly favored for this game, but it's turning the ball over too much, nine times over its last three games! Ultimately, though, we've got a ton of faith in Bengals QB Burrow and that super set of receivers, while counterpart Allen, a monster, can be a bit flighty. And the Cincinnati defense has held five of its last seven foes under 20 points. This should be a close one, so we're betting on the Bengals plus the points

New York is 5-0 ATS its last five times out, averaging more than 150 yards on the ground, getting really good play at QB and improved play on defense. Philadelphia, meanwhile, stumbled just a bit down the stretch but has Hurts back. The Eagles beat the Giants soundly in the first meeting this season but New York is better than it showed that day. Ultimately, we believe familiarity will play a big role in this game, and momentum might play a part, too. We won’t call for the outright upset here but we like the Giants plus the points.

Dallas averaged 135 YPG on the ground this season; Tampa sometimes doesn’t even try to run the ball. Also, if the Cowboys hadn’t blown that game to the Jaguars a few weeks ago, they’d be on a 7-1 run. Also, prior to last week, Dallas scored at least 27 points in nine straight games. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers were held under 20 points six times over their last nine contests. Also, Tampa had to come from behind in the fourth quarter for each of its last three victories against the Saints, Cardinals, and Panthers. None of those teams strike much fear into anybody. Finally, the Cowboys played poorly last week; we expect a bounce-back effort Monday night. We like Dallas here.  

Los Angeles will try to throw it against Jacksonville’s 28th-ranked pass defense. The Jaguars might try to take advantage of the Chargers’ 28th-ranked run defense. We prefer the latter method. Also, Jacksonville did something right in that win over Los Angeles earlier this season. Also, the Jags actually played poorly last week against Tennessee and were a bit lucky to win. We expect a much better performance Saturday night. We’re betting on Jacksonville.

Los Angeles will try to throw it against Jacksonville’s 28th-ranked pass defense. The Jaguars might try to take advantage of the Chargers’ 28th-ranked run defense. We prefer the latter method. Also, Jacksonville did something right in that win over Los Angeles earlier this season. Also, the Jags actually played poorly last week against Tennessee and were a bit lucky to win. We expect a much better performance Saturday night. We’re betting on Jacksonville.

Baltimore is just not getting the offensive production it needs without Jackson. The Ravens' defense is playing better, but this team has lost games recently in which it allowed just 13 and 16 points. Cincinnati, meanwhile, stumbled early this season but is showing its class by righting the ship and winning seven games in a row. We’re betting on the Bengals minus the points.

Jacksonville is hot, Tennessee is not, and Big Mo weighs heavy at this time of the season. The Jaguars are getting good play at QB, running the ball, and playing better defense as of late. Meanwhile, the Titans are banged-up, iffy at QB, and Henry, while listed as probable for Saturday, is dealing with a sore hip. Also, the Jags just outplayed Tennessee a month ago; they might just do it again. We're giving the points with Jacksonville Saturday.

I think both teams are going to try and establish the run making the first half Under my play for tonight’s game. 

To begin, this game may mean little to Minnesota by the time kick-off rolls around. If Philadelphia beats the Saints earlier Sunday, the Vikes will play on wild-card weekend, and the seedings and potential opponents don't look like they matter all that much. Minnesota is really dangerous offensively but iffy on defense. Also, how much longer can the Vikings keep pulling out those close games at the end? Green Bay, meanwhile, has life and momentum. Ultimately, our guess is the Packers running game will be the deciding factor. We're betting on Green Bay Sunday.

Dallas is just the better team here and should win this game. However, the Cowboys are susceptible to the run. Tennessee, meanwhile, is without its starting QB but can still do two things pretty well; run the ball and defend the run. And that would be a good way to stay in this game. Also, we still harbor a good degree of betting respect for Coach Vrabel. Also, double-digit dogs ain't faring too badly as of late. We're not calling for the outright upset, but we'll take the Titans plus the points Thursday night.

Green Bay, despite its struggles, is still alive in the playoff race. The Packers have also won two straight, and they're actually one of the healthier teams in the League right now. Miami, meanwhile, won five in a row not too long ago but against some iffy competition. Then the schedule got a little tougher, and they lost three straight. The Dolphins put on a great effort in tough conditions last week, but we wonder if that doesn't just make them candidates for a letdown this week. This one should be close, and three and a hook might come in really handy. We'll take the Packers plus the points.

This is a strange game because Philadelphia is so close to clinching that No. 1 seed but the wise move is probably to sit Hurts. Dallas, meanwhile, is hard to figure; they can be good but they almost lost to the Texans and blew that game last week. Our guess is Hurts plays Saturday, and even if he doesn’t we have faith in Minshew as a back-up. We also like that Eagles defense, which now ranks No. 2 in the League and No. 1 against the pass. Also, we never shy away from betting against the flow. We’ll take Philly and the points here.

Jacksonville rides Big Mo into Thursday night, following that crazy win over Dallas, but the Jaguars were also “good” enough to fall down by 17 points in that one. Also, that Jags' defense isn’t exactly stuffing opponents as of late. Meanwhile, New York’s hit some doldrums, but its defense will be the best unit on the field Thursday night. Also, Wilson wasn’t exactly terrible last week. The NFL is often a funny place, where what’s up one week is down the next, and vice versa, and this game gives us that feeling. We’re betting on the Jets in this spot.

Green Bay is actually still alive in the playoff race, albeit on life-support, while Los Angeles is just playing out the string on a lost season. Also, the Packers own the better running game,  which might come in handy on a cold December night in Wisconsin. Also, the Rams just got lucky last week. We’re giving the points with Green Bay Monday night.

We've been dubious of Miami all season. Hill is probably worth a touchdown per game on his own, but the Dolphins don't run the ball, and their defense ranks on the low side of middlin'. Buffalo, meanwhile, is out-rushing opponents by 34 YPG this season, and teams that win the ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. Also, the Bills out-gained Miami by 285 yards (!) back in September; they just pissed that game away. We're betting on Buffalo, minus the points, Saturday night.

Most signs point toward San Francisco here, coming off back-to-back big wins over supposedly quality opponents while Seattle sputters. However, the 49ers just lost Samuel, and they're still operating with a rookie quarterback. We wonder if the Niners might be candidates for a letdown Thursday night. The Seahawks, meanwhile, are still in the fight in the NFC, they're usually well-coached, and they might be prime for a bounce-back effort after sleep-walking through the early stages of last Sunday's loss. We love San Francisco's chances of winning the NFC in a few weeks, even with the rookie QB, but we're betting on Seattle plus the points Thursday night.

By the numbers, these two running attacks are about even, but almost all of New England’s ground production comes from its running backs, while 40 percent of Arizona’s comes from its QB. We prefer the Patriots method. Also, New England owns the better defense. And the Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS over their last five road games, while the Cardinals are just 1-5 SU at home this season. We’re betting on New England Monday night.

Philadelphia ranks 3rd in the League in total offense and 2nd in total defense; New York ranks 22nd in offense and 23rd in defense. The Eagles own a three-game winning streak; the Giants haven't won a game in a month. And Philly owns a 115 YPG edge vs. common opponents this season. We're betting on the Eagles here and quickly before that spread gets any steeper. 

The Raiders actually still have something to play for, the Rams, but not so much. Also, Las Vegas rides a hot offensive pairing with RB Jacobs and WR Adams, while Los Angeles is without its starting QB, WR Kupp and DT Donald. Also, the Raiders own the better "performance vs. common opponents" this season. Teams that win the game outright in the NFL this season are covering at an 84 percent clip, so we like Vegas minus the points here.