NFL FOOTBALL PICKS ATS - FREE WEEKLY EXPERT PREDICTIONS
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Chicago possesses the stronger running game and run defense in this matchup and has outperformed Carolina against common opponents this season. Avoiding turnovers is key; if Chicago can manage that, they should win and cover the spread.
Considering all the data, the game could go either way. The Jets' recent form and home advantage could be crucial.
The Jets seem to be the value pick here, with the under being the more attractive play for the total.
The data suggests a tough battle with neither team showing clear dominance in most categories. However, the Packers' home advantage and better offensive efficiency make them a tempting pick. Keep an eye on the point spread and consider the Over for a potential high-scoring game.
Given the stats and trends, this game is likely to be closer than the odds suggest. The Bears have the edge in key power stats, and both teams have vulnerabilities. Betting the Bears to cover the spread could offer good value, but with a rookie at the helm, the Over is worth a look given the Bears' recent
If you're looking to bet on the Raiders vs. Lions, the data points towards a strong showing for Detroit, especially on their home turf. While the Raiders have some advantages in the passing game, they'll need to overcome recent struggles to compete. Keep your eyes on the point spread and consider the Over for a potential high-scoring affair.
Chicago is coming off a big win at home with its backup quarterback. This leads us to consider the Bears as good candidates for a letdown this week. Meanwhile, Los Angeles is running in two-game spurts; two losses, two wins, and now two losses again. Following a downer of a performance in the second half last week, we consider the Chargers as good candidates to bounce back with a more complete performance here. That line does seem a bit high, but Chicago already owns three double-digit defeats this season. We like Los Angeles for Sunday night, minus the points.
Despite its recent struggles Buffalo is the better team in this match-up and should win this game outright. The Bills own the better running game and the better defense. Also, Tampa Bay is already having trouble scoring and now its QB and top WR might be out. We’re betting Buffalo Thursday night, minus the points.
In summary, taking the 49ers minus the points is a savvy move for several key reasons. First, San Francisco's offense, led by Kyle Shanahan, is due for a rebound after a below-average performance last week. Even with the recent dip, they rank 2nd in points scored and 3rd in yards per play. Despite potential injuries to stars like McCaffrey and Samuel, the 49ers have shown the depth and tactical flexibility to adjust their game plan effectively. On the flip side, Minnesota’s defense has been consistently poor, especially against high-caliber offenses. Moreover, the Vikings' offense has been inefficient, even more so with the injury to Justin Jefferson, making it unlikely they can keep up with San Francisco's scoring. Factor in Kirk Cousins' historically poor Monday Night Football record, and all signs point to a 49ers win that should comfortably cover the spread.
Philadelphia flirted with danger a couple of times earlier this season, and it caught up to them last week. As mentioned above, the Eagles just aren't quite the team they were last season, at least not yet. Meanwhile, Miami owns the No. 1 offense in the League - by a huge margin - and while the air attack gets most of the ink, they also lead the League in rushing at 182 YPG. We like the Dolphins to win this one outright.
If Lawrence can’t go here, it will be seven-year journeyman CJ Beathard at QB for Jacksonville, but our guess is he’ll play.
The Jaguars seem to be rounding into shape, with three straight victories, while New Orleans is hard to figure. Will we see the Saints who pounded the Patriots or the Saints who whiffed against Tampa Bay?
Also, Jacksonville is out-rushing opponents by 38 YPG while New Orleans comes in at +0. And teams that win the ground battles in the NFL cover the spread about 65 percent of the time. We like the Jags for Thursday night.
According to the stats and trends, Dallas has a slight edge in efficiency stats, while the Chargers have been better in the head-to-head matchups and specific game situations. The game is a toss-up but leans slightly in favor of the Chargers, especially considering they have the home-field advantage, have their top RB back, and are rested.
Buffalo played very sluggish last week in London, but this is still a conference title contender. We expect a bounce-back effort from the Bills this week. Meanwhile, New York can't score touchdowns, and the defense ranks 28th in the League. That playoff run of last season suddenly seems like a long time ago. We're betting Buffalo Sunday night, minus the points.
Considering this season's performances and key metrics, the game has a good chance to go over the total line of 42.5. Washington's defense is struggling, but they are efficient in converting yards to points. Betting on the Over might be the smart move for this matchup. Consider buying down to 42.
According to the stats and trends, Indianapolis has the edge in yards per point, yards per pass, and yards per rush, while Jacksonville has the edge in recent form and head-to-head matchups. The game could go either way, but Indianapolis appears to have a slight statistical advantage.
If we go by the stats and recent form, Green Bay seems to have the edge, both offensively and defensively. The Raiders will have to overcome a lot to come out on top. Given the trends and key stats, Green Bay looks like the better bet here.
Expect a close, hard-fought game as these teams have a history of tough playoff battles. While San Francisco operates efficiently, Dallas appears stronger than when they last met in the playoffs. We'll take the Cowboys plus the points for Sunday night.
In the upcoming AFC North clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Pittsburgh Steelers, all signs point to betting the Under on the total points line of 38.5. Baltimore's defense has been limiting opponents to just 14.5 points per game, while Pittsburgh's offense is struggling with an average of 15.5 points. Defensive efficiency, Over/Under trends, and poor Red Zone performance by the Steelers further solidify the case for the Under. It's a bet that aligns well with the current stats and trends.
The Titans have struggled to put up points this season but they've done an admirable job preventing them. The statistics suggest this trend will continue, Take the Under.
Washington can at least say it knows how to win a football game. Also, QB Howell owns a couple of good performances this season. Also, the Commanders, despite some recent questionable form, own the better defense in this match-up. Meanwhile, Chicago is just a total mess. We’ll give the points with Washington Thursday night.
Kansas City could be 3-0, if not for a pick-6 and some dropped passes against the Lions, and its defense is playing well. New York, meanwhile, can’t throw the ball, can’t run the ball, and its defense, the strength of the team, only ranks 19th in the League. Also, playing on the road means the spread is a bit more amenable. And the early line movement worked in our favor. We’re giving the points with the Chiefs on Sunday night.
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