EMU easily dispatched NIU aty home back in late February crushing them by 16 points as a small -3.5 favorite. We're dealing with a different evaluation this time around, but I thin kit's justified. Northern Illinois has lost seven of their last eight games going a bankroll crushing 1-5-1 versus the spread covering only in their 23 point victory over the fading Central Michigan who followed that loss up with 28 point loss to Eastern Michigan. The Eagles come into this game playing arguably their best basketball of the season with back to back wins before losing a close one to Toledo. Lay the points.

Yes it's a lot of points, but it's justified. CMU has been atrocius with seven consecutive losses where they went a dismal 1-6 against the spread. Kent State put together a five game winning streak beating some og the better MAC clubs before losing to a revenge minded Akron in their latest. Go easy on this, but the fav is the way to go here.

IUPI-Fort Wayne has been on the slide winning three games in their last seven with two of the victories coming in overtime. The Mastodons won both meetings this season but one of those was in one of the aforementioned overtime games as a host to go along with a two point win on the road back on January 4th. Nebraska Omaha has turned it on at the right time stringing together three straight wins after the OT loss to IPFW and while they're just 8-9 as a visitor that is superior to the Mastodons 6-8 road mark. Take the points here.

It's tough beating a team three times in one season, but I can't see playing anything but the Norse in this game. Northern Kentucky is on an impressive roll winning seven of their last eight games including a four point road win over Wright State. They are a poor 4-5 in Horizon road games, but they are four in one in their last five losing only to Valpo so the neutral court tonight shouldn't be a concern.

The over used two teams going in the opposite direction is the set up for this game, but the line continues to go the other way against current form and the public. That has me staying away from making a side play. What I do like is the total. Sure the Gophers could rest some players and that may be the reason for the odd line movement, but I don't think that would have negative impact on the scoring. The Badgers defense has been struggling allowing 70 points per game over their last five and the Gophers have allowed 74.2 over the same number of games. The offenses have The last meeting they put up 134 in regulation and with this being the final game of the regular season and Senior's Day there is no reason to think they can't hit that total again.

The Boilermakers destroyed the Wildcats winning by 21 in their earlier meeting in Purdue, but it must be noted that starting guard Scottie Lindsey didn't play in that match. Northwestern is on the improve with his return and can get the money here today. The Wildcats have won 14 of their 17 home games this season with two of their three losses coming with Lindsey out of the lineup. In other words, Northwestern is 14-1 in the home games that Lindsey played.

The Gamecocks' 5-3 SEC road recored doesn't impress me. Three of South Carolina's wins came over conference bottom feeders Mississippi. State., LSU and Missouri. Ole Miss have won six of their last nine SEC games with the three losses coming on the road. South Carolina lost their last two on the road by 9 to Vanderbilt and 15 to Florida and can easily go down by a handful tonight. The wrong team is favored here.

Duke has been burning bettor's money in recent weeks losing five of six versus the line. They've dropped their last two games on the road and are a poor 3-5 straight up and 2-6 ATS as a visitor in ACC road games. North Carolina is a perfect 8-0 as host in conference games and while they're just 5-4 against the spread they can extend the margin case in point being victories over Louisville by 11 and Virginia by 24. They have extra motivation in this game coming off a loss in their latest and are in a revenge spot after losing to Duke in early February.

Oklahoma State battled Kansas tooth and nail into the final minutes before losing by 7 and can improve at home. The Cowboys are only 4-4 at home versus the Big 12 but they have won four of their last five and ten of their last twelve overall and are 8 points from being on a twelve game winning streak.

The Spartans are coming off a three point defeat on the road at Illinois for their second loss in six games. It was their third consecutive loss on the road. The losses are a concern as MSU is just 2-6 on the road in Big Ten play this season beating Nebraska in early February and Minnesota in overtime back in December. Maryland hasn't been very succesful at home in conference contests going 4-4 but should get it done against one of the Big Ten's weakest road teams.

For Wagner in particular, this tournament provides the Seahawks an opportunity to acquire vindication. So far, the Seahawks have been successful in that they eliminated the team that cost them the 2016 NEC Championship, Fairleigh Dickinson at home in the first round of the competition. St. Francis own the NEC’s most productive offense. However, for any parties who have become infatuated with the Red Flash offense due to their prolific performance against Bryant, we advise you that such a feat is overstated and not much to herald in. Bryant owns one of the worst scoring defenses in all of the land at 294th nationally and furthermore, they were a ghastly 2-15 SU on the road this season. St. Francis was set up perfectly to produce the 22-point victory that they were able to secure against Bryant as they simply took advantage of the Bulldogs’ weaknesses. Now, the Red Flash are taking a step up in opposition and are doing so in extremely hostile confines. Wagner has one thing on their mind and that is to finish what they started in 2016. Rest assured, Wagner is foaming at the mouth of potentially settling the NEC Championship against their arch nemesis Mount St. Mary’s and given the fact this is an opportunity to establish momentum and potentially send them a message, Wagner will likely do just that. Spot the points.

Neither squad is playing well right now with Missouri State losing seven of their last eight games and Northern Iowa losers of three straight. The Panthers did beat the Bears in an earlier meeting on the road and they are 6-3 in the MVC. Their scoring is troubling averaging a miniscule 44.4 points per game in their last 5, but the spread is of little consequence making the home side the play here.

The Zips are in a tailspin losing three of their last four and they do have the revenge motivational factor on their side but is that enough? I don't think so. Kent State has been on fire winning five consecutive MAC games and while they're 4-4 as a host in conference games, three of the four losses came in overtime.

The Cyclones are playing exceptionally well right now rolling up a six game winning streak going 5-1 versus the spread and over/under line during that stretch. They have a positive return in Big 12 road games going 5-3 including a 3-1 run in their last four with the lone loss coming to Texas by two points in a let down game after upsetting kansas as a -10 point road dog. West Virginia is a strong road team winning 15 of 17 as a host, but the two losses did come in conference games and they are a money losing 3-4-1 versus the spread in Big 12 home games.

Princeton appears to be getting better with each game dominating their competition winning their last four games (all on the road) by a combined 68 points with the lowest margin of victory being 15 points. They've already beaten Harvard on the road by a single point back in early February, but they have also improved with six straight victories makinmg this game a toss up. The total does offer some value though. Princeton's last crossed over the total by half of a point for their first over in ten games. The Tigers defense has been brilliant this season holding the opposition to 59 points overall and 56 in Ivy league action and they're even better at home. Harvard also plays excellent defense holding the opposition to 65.6 points per game in conference play. These two combined for 113 points in their first meeting and I can't see any reason would that would be much different this afternoon.

The Golden Bears have dropped three of their last four games, but are coming off of a 30-point spanking of Oregon State and did go 3-1 over the four game stretch with two losses being to Oregon and Arizona. Cal has lost four of their seven conference road games but in all fairness three of the four losses were against the Pac-12’s top teams. Utah played California tough on the road losing by just two points in overtime and should improve on their home court. However this time around they’ll be without starting guard Devon Daniels and his replacement Gabe Bealer can put some points on the board but he doesn’t move the ball well with just two assists on the season.

I like Troy here. The Trojans have dropped their last two, but they came on the road and there is no shame in losing to Texas-Arlington and the loss to Texas State was by just four points. Before those two matches they were on four game winning streak that included a blow out road win over ULL. Arkansas State’s has three losses in their last five games and while two of the losses were to the exact same teams on the road as the two Troy lost to they are only 3-3 on the road in Sun Belt games. The Trojans lost by just two at Arkansas State and are certainly capable of turning the tide tonight.

The Bearcats are a perfect 8-0 at home in AAC matches going a strong 6-2 versus the betting line. The two failed covers came as a double digit point spread favorite winning by 13 over Memphis as a 14-point favorite and winning 10 over UCF as a 10-point favorite. Cincinnati beat Houston back in January by nine points on the road and everything points to a victory by that margin or greater tonight. The Bearcats shoot better, defend better, rebound better and have a superior assist to turnover differential. The home team is the right side of the line to be on, but it’s a big spread so go easy on this.

While many may be playing on the redemption angle for the Purple Aces, this contest could easily be fueled by vindication for the Sycamores as well. Indiana State has a bone to pick with Evansville after they were eliminated in embarrassing fashion by the Purple Aces in the semifinals of the 2016 Missouri Valley Conference a year ago. On the year, both contests between the two were hard fought and close. Both fixtures were settled by a basket and the most recent affair in Evansville was a scrappy duel where Indiana State gave Evansville all kinds of trouble. Typically, Indiana State plays a more robust and physical style of basketball as they are the stronger rebounding team and they back this up with a deeper bench. Though the Sycamores are more prominent in the paint when comparing the two, Evansville managed to beat Indiana State in rebounding 40 to 30 in their most recent contest. Additionally, Evansville and Indiana State hit the same amount of field goals but Evansville did so in fewer tries and as a result the Purple Aces won the most recent affair by just two points. Regardless, an identical scenario transpired earlier this season when Indiana State defeated Evansville in overtime at home by a mere point. If Indiana State finally outguns Evansville on the boards, this contest can be a long night for the Purple Aces. With such a low number offered in this market, the price on Evansville seemingly is too good to be true.

I was tempted to lay down on the Gophers here, but it’s a lot of points and I do think that total offers better value. The Cornhuskers have struggled to put points on the board in recent games failing to reach 60 points in two of their last three but they’ll be facing a team that has been giving up a bushel of points with the home side allowing 71 or more points in four straight games. Minnesota has scored 70 or more points in nine of their last 10 contests and has averaged 80 points at home this season and has scored 75.3 points per game in Big Ten action. The Gophers are on an OVER run with six straight and nine of the last ten games landing on that side of the line.