Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans Free Pick - Betting Odds - Point Spread Prediction
Date:
March 2, 8:30 pm
Location:
Trojan Arena
TV:
ESPN3
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Troy -2.5
Total:
151
<p>
The Troy Trojans host the Arkansas State Red Wolves in a Sun Belt game that will take place at the Trojan Arena in Troy, Alabama at 8:30 PM ET. The NCAA betting board opened Troy as -2 favorite and that line has moved up a half point to -2.5. The O/U line for this match is listed at 149 which is a two point drop from its opener.
</p>
<p>
Arkansas State is coming off a 78-67 win over Georgia State in their last game where they covered the 1.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 145, which was over the closing line of 140. The Red Wolves have covered the spread in two of their last three games and previous to the Georgia State game the total had gone under in three straight games. Arkansas State has won two of their last three games.
</p>
<p>
Troy is coming off an 82-67 loss to Texas-Arlington where they failed to cover the spread as a 9.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 149, which was under the closing line of 157. The Trojans have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in their previous two games and in their last three games the total has gone under every time. Troy has lost two games in a row after winning four straight.
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<p>
Offensively, Arkansas State is putting up 73.6 points per game on a 46.2% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Red Wolves are allowing 68.4 points per game on a 43.4% FG average.
</p>
<p>
Troy is putting up 79.3 points per game on a 44.4% FG average. On defense the Trojans are allowing 73.5 points per game on a 44.1% FG average.
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<p>
These teams met on January 21st at Arkansas State where the Red Wolves beat the Trojans 82-80.
</p>
<h2>
Arkansas State Red Wolves at Troy Trojans Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Arkansas State is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Red Wolves are 5-12 against the spread in their last 17 games against Troy.
</li>
<li>
The game total has gone over in 6 of Arkansas State’s last 8 games against Troy.
</li>
<li>
Troy is 8-3 straight up in their last 11 games at home.
</li>
<li>
The Trojans are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 homes games against the Red Wolves.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Arkansas State and Troy have the public leaning to the visiting Red Wolves getting the 2.5 points with over 67%. The over/under bettors are definitively betting that this game will go over the posted total 151 with over 73%.
</p>
Arkansas State at Troy Trojans Prediction
I like Troy here. The Trojans have dropped their last two, but they came on the road and there is no shame in losing to Texas-Arlington and the loss to Texas State was by just four points. Before those two matches they were on four game winning streak that included a blow out road win over ULL. Arkansas State’s has three losses in their last five games and while two of the losses were to the exact same teams on the road as the two Troy lost to they are only 3-3 on the road in Sun Belt games. The Trojans lost by just two at Arkansas State and are certainly capable of turning the tide tonight.
Free Pick:
Take the Troy Trojans -2.5
