Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins Point Spread Pick

Jeff Scott
Date: October 16, 1:00 pm
Location: FedEx Field
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Redskins -3
Total: 45

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Philadelphia fell from the ranks of the unbeaten with a last-minute 24-23 loss at Detroit last week. Washington won for the 3rd-straight week with a tough 16-10 win at Baltimore last Sunday.
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The Eagles offense continues to ride the arm of rookie QB Carson Wentz. While he did throw his first interception last week (last-minute desperation toss) he remains a poised QB who avoids sacks and TOs. WR Jordan Matthews is his favorite target but he spreads the ball around very well and rarely gives plays away by focusing on his primary receiver. The Redskins did a nice job of containing QB Joe Flacco last week but I think they will face a stiffer test in this matchup. Philly ran the ball only 21 times last week but gained 116 yards (5.5 ypc). Washington allows more than 5.0 ypc and look for the Eagles to make the run a bigger part of their game plan this week. The Redskins have an average pass rush while Wentz was sacked 3 times last week after being dropped only 4 times in the first 3 games.
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Washington’s offense didn’t do much last week but just enough to get the victory. QB Kirk Cousins has a mediocre 7-5 TD/INT ratio and faces a defense this Sunday that allows fewer than 200 yards passing per game. TE Jordan Reed already has 33 receptions and he’ll be the focus again in this contest. Philadelphia has to secure the middle of the field as Cousins will continue to target Reed if he sees any opening at all. WR Pierre Garcon scored his first TD of the year against the Ravens and with WRs DeSean Jackson and Jamison Crowder, gives Cousins lots of options on the outside. The Eagles have 14 sacks on the year and can bring the heat behind new DC Jim Schwartz. Cousins has been sacked 8 times this year and will need to make quick decisions against this d-line. The running game is averaging a little better than 4.0 ypc but Washington averages only 21 attempts per game.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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It appears this week’s NFL matchup between Philly and Washington is garnering over 70% of the betting public to the Eagles to cover the 3 point spread. On the over/under it looks like the key bet on this side according to the public is the over 45 at more than 70% as well.
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Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins Prediction

This is a huge early-season game for both clubs. Dallas is 4-1 and looking like they are for real and even the 2-3 Giants look like they can compete. The Eagles are 10-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back road games and are playing very well on both sides of the ball. They gave up TD passes on Detroit’s first 3 possessions last week and then limited them to a last-minute FG the rest of the way. Wentz has taken better care of the ball than Cousins and the Redskins signalcaller can expect a lot of pressure up front on passing downs. He has proven to get rattled in the past and I think the Eagles secondary can stay with these receivers if the pass rush is forcing quick throws.

Free Pick: Take the Eagles -3
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