Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys Odds Analysis - Free Pick

<p>
The second game of a Thanksgiving three-pack kicks off at 4:30 PM ET at AT&T Stadium in Dallas with the Washington Redskins battling their NFC East rival Dallas Cowboys. The line on this game opened at Dallas -7, but Washington betting action has driven it down the point spread to -6.5. The total line on this game has risen to 51 after hitting the board at 48.5.
</p>
<p>
The Redskins come into this game off of 42-24 victory over the Packers easily covering the -3 line assigned to the game. The victory was their second straight after knocking off Minnesota 26-20 in their previous game and a tie against Cincinnati in Week 9 has them bringing a three game undefeated string into this match. The 66 points scored in the game easily surpassed the 48 point total line for the Skins third consecutive OVER and fourth in their last five games. Washington has been an OVER machine this season against the O/U line.
</p>
<p>
In their latest the Cowboys were in a battle with the Ravens for the first half entering the break tied at 10, but Dallas took control outscoring the visitor 17-7 in the second half for the 27-17 victory. The 10 point margin sent their backers to the window covering the 7-point spread on the game. The straight up win and the point spread cover were the Cowboys ninth straight and if you jumped on Dallas in Week one and got the best line, they’d be a perfect 10-0 against the spread. The 34 points scored in the game fell below the 44.5 closing line for the Cowboy’s fifth UNDER in their last seven games.
</p>
<div class="promo">
GET UP TO $250 FREE AT ONE OF THE BEST SPORTSBOOKS ONLINE: <a class="advblue" href="javascript:GoTo(Bovada)" title="Bovada Sports Book">BOVADA</a>.
</div>
<h2>
Head to Head<br />
</h2>
<p>
This will be the second meeting this season between the two clubs with Dallas taking the opener 27-23 in Week 2 in Washington. These two teams split their matches last season with the visitor take both games and in fact the host has lost six in a row in this series. Dallas holds a 6-4 edge straight up, but Washington has got the money going 6-4 against the betting odds. The total over their last 10 contests has been a mixed bag split 5-5 with a mini trend to the OVER with three of their last four meetings sailing over the line.
</p>
<h2>
Statistically<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Cowboys lead in all three yards per differential stats that I track with an edge in Yards Per Point, Yards Per Pass and Yards Per Rush. In the takeaway margin Dallas holds a small edge with a plus three mark compared to Washington’s plus 1. In yards per play both of these clubs are outstanding offensively with the Redskins holding a small advantage 6.4 to 6.2, and defensively each team has struggled allowing an identical rounded 5.8 yards.
</p>
<h2>
Injuries<br />
</h2>
<p>
The Redskins are extremely thin at left tackle with starter Trent Williams serving a suspension and his replacement Ty Nsekhe dealing with a bad ankle. Nsekhe should play, but it’s anyone’s guess if he’ll be there at the end of the game. Their long snapper is also out this game, so the place kicking may be iffy in Week 12.
</p>
<p>
The Cowboys will once again be without S Barry Church and CB Morris Claiborne leaving them vulnerable in the secondary. In the last two games without those two starters they allowed 267 passing yards to the Ravens and 400 to the Steelers. On paper Washington has a far superior group as a whole of receivers than either of Dallas’ past two opponents put on the field.
</p>
<h2>
Public Money<br />
</h2>
<p>
The volume of bets on both clubs has been basically even with Dallas getting 52% of the placed wagers. The line however has fallen to -6.5 from an opener of -7 signalling that the smart money may be on the Redskins. The public is two fisting the OVER with 85% of the bets being placed on that side of the line moving the O/U line as much as three points.
</p>