Tennessee Titans vs  Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Pick

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The Tennessee Titans take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game on Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. It’s a high-stakes showdown, with the winner going to the Super Bowl—something that isn’t exactly old-hat with either of these teams, with the Chiefs shut out of the big game since 1970, with the Titans once getting to the Big Game, back in 2000. To get here, Tennessee has scored two big road upsets, including Saturday’s 28-12 win over top-seeded Baltimore. The Chiefs had it tough in the divisional round, as things looked dire on Sunday with the Texans jumping out to a 24-0 lead in Arrowhead. In the end, the Chiefs were cruising, putting the finishing touches on a 51-31 win where they picked the Houston “D” apart. Can they do it again this week?
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What Week Ten Tells Us<br />
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It tells us a lot. On the one hand, you don't want to use a regular-season result as a roadmap, but Tennessee's 35-32 win over the Chiefs in Nashville was revealing. It shows us that when these teams mesh, defense becomes a bit of an afterthought. It also shows us that Tennessee is able to withstand a high-octane showing from Patrick Mahomes, who threw for 446 yards and still couldn’t get the Chiefs over the hump. We see Derrick Henry carrying this Titans team with otherworldly rushing performances, with 588 yards in the last three games—all road contests that were of a must-win nature. In week ten, Henry’s 188 yards were a huge part of the winning equation against the Chiefs. Being in record-setting form and having thrived against this defense before, it might be hard to deny Henry is this spot.
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On one hand, the Titans were a 9-win team that needed a win in week 17 to get into the playoffs. But their week ten win over the Chiefs, their final-week must-win over Houston, and their playoff wins over New England and Baltimore show they can thrive in the most elevated contexts of this conference. It’s not a matter of if. They have a monster that can control games and make things better on both sides of the ball. This time, however, on the road at Arrowhead against a tempered Chiefs squad that has won every game since that week ten loss, it might be a little tougher.
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Why the Chiefs are a Major Threat<br />
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It didn’t look like it at times on Sunday, but the KC defense has been able to pick up their form as of late, closing the regular season well and tightening up significantly after the rough start against Houston in the divisional round. And while the offensive explosion from the Chiefs was obviously key to the comeback win on Sunday, it was the defense that helped stage it, with some big playmaking by guys like Daniel Sorensen and peaking Frank Clark. The offense has a variety of weapons, with Patrick Mahomes and a full cast, including two of the more dangerous aerial targets in the business in TE Travis Kelce and WR Tyreek Hill. Both Kelce and RB Damien Williams had three TDs apiece on Sunday. They’re at home, with an axe to grind after coming so close last season, and can’t be overlooked.
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The Tough Questions<br />
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It's hard to remember a lot of teams able to go on the road four straight weeks against playoff teams and come out ahead in all of them. Will reality come crashing down on Tennessee? Is it just too crazy for a running back to string together this many near-200 yard games, while a so-so defense all season suddenly holds conference powers to almost nothing? It's just really hard to question the formula for success right now. Our eyes do not deceive us.
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If the Chiefs start the game as they did against Houston, they might not get off the hook. It again showed the Chiefs are vulnerable. The defense might be improved, but it’s still dicey at this level, especially after being unable to stop Henry a few months ago. Did the Chiefs catch a bad draw having to face a Titans team that matches up well against them?
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1234560">Titans at Chiefs AFC Championship Match up </a></span>
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