Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills NFL Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction
Date:
December 11, 1:00 pm
Location:
Ralph Wilson Stadium
TV:
ESPN
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Pittsburgh -1
Total:
46.5
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The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) will travel to Buffalo, New York to square off with the AFC East’s Bills who enter at 6-6. The Steelers enter off a 24-14 win against the Giants in Pittsburgh, last Sunday. Contrarily the Bills come in off a 38-24 loss where the Bills were soundly defeated on the road at the Oakland Raiders. The contest will be aired on CBS for regional audiences. Kick-off is slated for 1:00 PM ET. For both Pittsburgh and Buffalo, this fixture likely bears many post-season implications for both units. For Buffalo a loss here puts them in a tough spot in terms of contention. Buffalo’s defense continues to struggle and Pittsburgh’s resurgent offense proves to be a very difficult test for even the best of defenses to figure out. Pittsburgh has won the last five against Buffalo and they have come out on top in the last nine of ten overall in recent collisions between these two AFC foes.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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95% of the public like the Steelers spotting the point to the Bills. At the spread, Buffalo comes in at -105 with the point as opposed to spotting the point with Pittsburgh at -115. On the Money Line, Pittsburgh requires a tad bit more of juice at -125 outright. Conversely, Buffalo comes in above evens at +105. 82% of the public like the Steelers in this capacity as well. Currently in Over/Under markets, the Over/Under is sitting at 46.5 with 55% of the public liking the Over in this late season AFC showdown.
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Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills Prediction
The price here is extremely enticing. After last week, Pitt at such a low price seems too good to be true. When it often feels that way, it is almost always it. So we are simply going to fade the public on this one as the fact that 95% of the money is on Pittsburgh signals something abnormal is occurring. Often we don’t see these numbers unless the book makes a terrible mistake or they know something we don’t. It is very unlikely that two weeks in a row, the books will blunder with the very same team as they left themselves vulnerable last week with the Oakland/Buffalo match. When a team gets hot they are more likely to be overvalued and even the points they spot may be far more than required. Pittsburgh has had a lot of trouble on the road both this season and historically, thus the market reflects the tendencies of the Steelers to lay an egg away from the Steel City. Let us recall what may seem like ancient history at this point to anyone that dare think Pittsburgh will walk in to this contest and have its way. This is the same Buffalo outfit that beat New England in Foxborough earlier this season. And the Bills didn’t just beat the Pats, they shut them out. There is no criteria to write off Buffalo getting a win here, let alone being competitive in this match-up.
Free Pick:
Take Buffalo +1
