Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens Point Spread - Free NFL Pick
Date:
December 27, 1:00 pm
Location:
M&T Bank Stadium
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Steelers -10
Total:
47.5
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Pittsburgh won for the 5th time in 6 games last Sunday with a rousing come-from-behind 34-27 victory over Denver. Baltimore was blown out for the 2nd-straight week, falling 34-14 to Kansas City. The Ravens won the Week 4 matchup 23-20 in OT.
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The Steelers would like to be balanced on offense but their running game was stuffed last week (17 carries, 23 yards). The Ravens allow 100 ypg and 3.8 ypc so don't expect a big day from RB DeAngelo Williams. QB Ben Roethlisberger and the passing game have been on fire and I expect them to have another big game this week. WRs Antonio Brown, Markus Wheaton and Martavis Bryant are all a big play waiting to happen while TE Heath Miller remains a steady weapon on 3rd down. Baltimore has allowed 28 TD passes while picking off only 4 passes. They do have 31 sacks so Roethlisberger may not have tons of time for deep throws. However, his receivers are very adept at turning short catches into long gains.
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Baltimore is leaning on QB Jimmy Clausen to finish the year and that's not a good thing. He simply isn't a starting-caliber QB in the league. Pittsburgh's defense has been gashed by opposing QBs with regularity but they should be able to contain this passing attack. WR Kamar Aiken has made the most of his opportunity to play and has a shot at a 1,000 yard receiving season. Look for the Steelers to shade their coverage his way. The Steelers pass rush had a slow start but they have 40 sacks now. No player has more than 7 meaning Pittsburgh is bringing heat from all directions. Rookie RB Javorius Allen is the lead back because of injury but his ypc average is below 4 and he has yet to score a TD. Baltimore scored a TD on their opening drive last week (1st time this season) before being shut down for the rest of the game.
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<div class="heading">
Consensus Picks
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Steelers 77% Under 54%
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Free Pittsburgh at Baltimore ATS Pick
Six of the previous eight meetings between these heated rivals have been decided by 3 points or less including the earlier game this season. I don't see history repeating itself this week. Baltimore has been outscored 69-20 in the past two games as injuries have finally kept the team from fielding a competitive roster, especially on offense. HC John Harbaugh's teams always compete but the talent just isn't there. Pittsburgh is marching toward a playoff spot and can't afford a slipup here. Roethlisberger and the passing offense will be just too much for the Ravens to handle.
Free Pick:
Take the Pittsburgh Steelers -10 - JS
