Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction
Betting Odds
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Oakland defeated Kansas City 31-30 last Thursday on a 2-yard TD pass on the final play of the game. Buffalo rallied with 10 points in the final 2:28 to get by Tampa Bay 30-27 last Sunday.
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The Raiders rediscovered their passing game last week as David Carr threw for 417 yards. He has an 11-4 TD/INT ratio and should do well against a secondary that was gashed for 384 passing yards by the Bucs. They had been allowing 235 passing ypg before last week but they have 9 interceptions on the year. WR Michael Crabtree and TE Jared Cook have been Carr’s favorite targets this season but WR Amari Cooper went off against the Chiefs, catching 11 passes for 220 yards and 2 TDs. The Bills will have 2 top wideouts to deal with as well as Cook. Buffalo has 13 sacks on the year while Oakland has given up 13 sacks. RB Marshawn Lynch is suspended for this game so RBs Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington will likely split carries. Both are dangerous receivers as well. WR Cordarrelle Patterson has run for 124 yards on 10 carries (mostly jet sweeps) and scored twice so the Bills have to be aware of him when he is on the field.
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Buffalo passed for 261 yards last week after averaging 165 ypg through the first 5 games. QB Tyrod Taylor has a 7-2 TD/INT ratio and generally does a good job of protecting the ball. However, he has limited receiving options as TE Charles Clay and WR Jordan Matthews (check status of both) are expected to miss this game. Newly-acquired WR Deonte Thompson caught 4 passes for 107 yards last week and now appears to be the top wideout amongst a bad group of receivers. The Raiders have been hurt by the pass at various times this year but they should be able to hold up against this group. New MLB Navorro Bowman led the team with 11 tackles against the Chiefs and Oakland will be counting on him to lead the front seven against RB LeSean McCoy. “Shady’ is averaging only 3.4 ypc in 2017 but he remains the focal point of the offense. He also leads the team in receptions. Look for the Raiders to focus the majority of their defensive game plan on stopping McCoy, both on the ground and in the passing game.
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Public Money Consensus<br />
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In this week 8 NFL matchup between Oakland and Buffalo have the public leaning heavily to the visiting Raiders getting the 3 points with 73%. The over/under bettors are pretty evenly split on the 45 total line of this game .
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Oakland Raiders at Buffalo Bills Week 8 ATS Pick
Oakland is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups in this series and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 visits. Carr needed to play big against the Chiefs to end a 4-game losing streak and he delivered. He and Cooper finally got back on the same page and together with Crabtree and Cook, the ‘3 Cs’ are a handful for any secondary. Taylor is hamstrung by a weak receiving corps and the running game hasn’t been the force it was in 2015 and 2016. The Raiders are a real threat to win this game outright plus they are getting 3 points. I think recent history will repeat itself and that Oakland will leave the Queen City with another victory.