New England Patriots at Denver Broncos Free Point Spread Pick - Odds - NFL Prediction

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In a prime time AFC battle this Sunday night between two teams headed in opposite directions, the 6-2 New England Patriots head to Sports Authority Field at Mile High to face the 3-5 Denver Broncos. Game time on NBC is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET).
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New England at Denver Game Overview<br />
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The Patriots have been able to get past an unexpected 2-2 straight-up start to win its next four games before last week’s bye. They have gone an even 4-4 against the spread during this same span and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four outings. New England is 2-1 ATS on the road this season with the total staying UNDER in two of the three games.
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With Tom Brady leading the league’s top offense in both passing yards and total yards per game, the Patriots are averaging 27.0 points per game. This scoring trend has actually softened during this four-game winning streak to just 21.8 PPG, but New England’s defense has been able to step things up by only allowing a combined 51 points in those four victories. Brady has thrown for 2,541 yards and 16 touchdowns including five TD throws to tight end Rob Gronkowski.
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Denver’s season continues to go from bad to worse coming off a 51-23 beatdown at the hands of Philadelphia last Sunday as a seven-point road underdog. It is now 3-5 SU (2-5-1 ATS) and in the midst of a four-game losing streak (SU and ATS). The total went way OVER 41 points in Sunday’s loss and it has now gone OVER in five of the Broncos’ first eight games. They return home with a 2-1-1 record ATS in four previous games at Mile High this year.
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Head coach Vance Joseph has decided to stick with Brock Osweiler has his starting quarterback for Sunday night in place of an ineffective Trevor Siemian. It probably does not matter who is under center for an offense that has averaged just 13.6 points over its last five games. Even the vaunted Denver defense was exposed against the Eagles by getting torched for four touchdowns through the air and three on the ground.
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New England at Denver Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Patriots have gone 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games and they have covered in 11 of their last 15 games against an AFC team. The total has gone OVER in six of their last seven games coming off a bye.
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The Broncos are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine conference games and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games coming off a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games follow a SU loss.
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The home team in this AFC matchup has covered in seven of the last eight meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings in Denver.
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