Kansas City Chiefs vs. Baltimore Ravens Odds Analysis - Free Pick

<p>It's a big-time NFL showdown when the defending Super Bowl champion Chiefs roll with the Ravens.
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<p>Monday night in Baltimore. Kansas City rides an 11-game winning streak into Week 3, while the Ravens own a 14-game regular-season winning streak. Plus, the teams feature two of the most exciting quarterbacks in the game. Baltimore is favored by three and an all-important hook; how are we playing this game with our <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/free-nfl-picks&quot; title="Free NFL Football Picks">NFL point spread pick</a>?
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<h2>NFL Betting Odds </h2>
<p>Week 3's <a href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/odds&quot; title="NFL betting odds from various sportsbooks">NFL betting odds</a> opened Baltimore at -2.5 over KC, with an over/under of right around 52.5. Early betting action then bumped the Ravens to -3.5 and the total to 54.</p>
<h2>Chiefs vs. Ravens Set-Up </h2>
<p>Kansas City is 2-0 on the season, after outlasting the Chargers on the West Coast last week 23-20 in overtime. The Chiefs allowed San Diego (yea, we still call 'em "San Diego" because they don't play in Los Angeles, either) to drive the game's opening possession to a touchdown, trailed 14-6 at the half and 17-6 well into the third quarter. KC then woke up and used an 11-0 spurt to tie the game at 17-17 early in the fourth. The Chiefs then fell behind 20-17 but drove 63 yards to a game-tying field goal at the buzzer. Kansas City then made a defensive stop on the opening possession of OT, then won it on Harrison Butker's 58-yard field goal with just under two minutes left in extra time.
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<p>However, the Chiefs never came close to covering the spread last week as favorites of 8.5 points against a team with a rookie quarterback making his first career start.</p>
<p>On the day, KC got out-gained by the Chargers 479-414, out-rushed 183-125, and lost time of possession by a 39:28 split. And that's not usually the way one wins games or covers spreads in the NFL. Fortunately for the Chiefs, they made the big defensive play of the game, a third-quarter interception that stopped a San Diego drive into KC territory, which Patrick Mahomes and Tyreek Hill promptly turned into a Chiefs touchdown, totally reversing momentum.</p>
<p>Kansas City opened its season with that 34-20 victory over Houston, covering at -9.5.</p>
<p>Baltimore is also 2-0 on the season, after also beating Houston last week 33-16. The Ravens took advantage of a questionable Texans go-for-it call to score the first 10 points of the game, let Houston get within 10-7, then pulled away from there. Baltimore led 20-10 at the half, 23-10 after three quarters, then basically iced the game on Mark Ingram's 30-yard TD jaunt – off a direct snap - early in the fourth. The Ravens also covered the spread as 7.5-point road favorites.<br />
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1254330">KC at BAL Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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On the day Baltimore out-gained the Texans 407-304, out-rushed Houston 230-51, dominated time of possession 35:25, and won the turnover battle 2-0. Meanwhile, the Ravens defense allowed just one Texans touchdown and scored one of its own.</p>
<p>Baltimore opened its season with that 38-6 romp over Cleveland, easily covering at -7.
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<h2>Chiefs-Ravens Recent History </h2>
<p>These teams and quarterbacks have met each of the last two seasons, KC and Mahomes winning both games at Arrowhead Stadium. Two years ago, the Chiefs outlasted the Ravens 27-24 in overtime, but Baltimore covered at +6.5. Last year, Kansas City took a big early lead and hung on to win 33-28, covering at -4.5.
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<p>Both those games played over their totals, although the match two years ago needed overtime to do it.
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<h2>NFL Betting Trends</h2>
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<li>Kansas City is 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS in true road games over the last season-plus.</li>
<li>Kansas City is 2-1 both SU and ATS in its last three games as an underdog.</li>
<li>Baltimore is 8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS at home over the last season-plus.</li>
<li>Favorites are 23-9 SU but only 14-17-1 ATS in the NFL this season.</li>
<li>Home teams are 19-13 SU, 17-14-1 ATS in the NFL this season.</li>
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<h2>Totals Report </h2>
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<li>Totals are split 9-9 in Chiefs games over the last season-plus, which have averaged 48 total points.</li>
<li>Totals are also split 9-9 in Ravens games over the last season-plus, which have averaged 50 points.</li>
<li>Overs are 20-12 in the NFL this season.</li>
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