Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders Week 7 Point Spread - Free Pick

David Schwab
Date: October 19, 8:25 pm
Location: Oakland Coliseum
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kansas City -2.5
Total: 47

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The Kansas City Chiefs invade Oakland Coliseum this Thursday night to tangle with the Oakland Raiders to renew a long running rivalry in the AFC West. Game time for this divisional clash on CBS has been set for 8:25 p.m. (ET).
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Kansas City at Oakland Game Overview<br />
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Kansas City was the last NFL team to fall from the ranks of the unbeaten with Sunday’s 19-13 loss to Pittsburgh as a 3.5-point home favorite. It was also the first time that the Chiefs failed to cover against the spread and the total stayed UNDER 46.5 points after going OVER in four of their first five games. They are 3-0 ATS on the road this season with total going OVER in two of the three games.
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What worked to near perfection in Kansas City’s first five games came completely unwound against the desperate Steelers. Alex Smith looked very ordinary completing just 55.9 percent of his 34 passing attempts for 246 yards and one score, while the Chiefs’ vaunted ground game was held to just 28 total yards on 15 carries. Kansas City’s defense also took a big step backwards after getting gouged for 439 yards of total offense, including 194 yards on the ground.
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Oakland’s current skid reached four games both SU and ATS with Sunday’s 17-16 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers as a three-point home favorite. The Raiders are now 2-4 (SU and ATS) on the year with the total staying UNDER in four of the six games. They are 1-2 ATS at home this season with the total going OVER in two of the three games.
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While Derek Carr was back under center against the Chargers, the offense still sputtered when it came to moving the ball through the air. He ended the day with 171 yards passing and one touchdown throw to Michael Crabtree to go with a pair of interceptions. After rolling up a combined 71 points in its first two games of the season, Oakland has only averaged 13.3 points during this four-game slide.
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Kansas City at Oakland Game Betting Trends<br />
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--The Chiefs have gone a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six AFC West contests and they are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six games on the road.
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--The Raiders are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games at home, but they have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 Thursday games. The total has gone OVER in six of their last eight games in October.
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--Head-to-head in this matchup, the road team is 21-7 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in 18 of the last 24 meetings in the division tilt.
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Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders Prediction ATS

Kansas City is still a much better team than the one that took the field last Sunday against the Steelers, but I am not sure that Oakland is capable of quickly turning things around given its performance over the past four weeks. This team may have been a bit over-hyped on the heels of last year’s 11-5 run and it is starting to show in its recent performances. Giving just 2.5 points to the Raiders appears to be a gift and I am going to take it with a play on Kansas City ATS this Thursday night.

 

Free Pick: Kansas City -2.5 DS
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