Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

David Schwab
Date: October 8, 8:30 pm
Location: NRG Stadium
TV: NBC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kansas City -1
Total: 47

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Week 5’s featured matchup on Sunday Night Football should be a good one with the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs going on the road to NRG Stadium to square off against the Houston Texans in an 8:30 p.m. (ET) kickoff on NBC.
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Kansas City at Houston Game Overview<br />
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Kansas City is now the only NFL team without a straight-up loss at 4-0 following last Sunday’s thrilling 29-20 victory at home against Washington as a 6.5-point favorite. The total went OVER 47.5 points in that game and it has gone OVER in three of the Chiefs’ first four contests. They will head into Houston with a five-game winning streak on the road both SU and ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of those contests.
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The combination of a veteran quarterback making the plays he has to and a relentless ground game led by a rookie phenom has powered the Chiefs’ offense to third in the NFL in scoring and to second in total yards. Alex Smith has completed 92 of his first 121 passing attempts for 1,067 yards and eight touchdowns against zero interceptions while Kareem Hunt has added 502 yards and four touchdowns on the ground. Kansas City has also been solid on the other side of the ball with a points-allowed average of 19.2.
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The Texans come into this game fresh off an old-fashioned 57-14 beatdown of AFC South rival Tennessee as slight 2.5-point home underdogs. They are now 2-2 SU with a 3-1 record ATS. They took the 43-point total OVER on their own in that game after it also went OVER in a tough 36-33 loss to New England the week before as heavy 13.5-point underdogs on the road. Houston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 home games.
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Head coach Bill O’Brian did not hesitate to turn the keys of his offense over to rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson early in the season and that decision is already paying dividends with 811 yards passing and seven touchdown throws. He is coming off his best game of the year after racking up 283 yards passing and four touchdowns last Sunday against Tennessee. Houston is ranked 17th in the NFL in total yards, but it jumps to fourth in scoring with an average of 27.5 points per game.
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Kansas City at Houston Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Chiefs have covered ATS in 13 of their last 16 road games and they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five conference games. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five games on the road.
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The Texans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a SU winning record on the road, but they fall to 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in 11 of their last 13 October games.
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The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last six games between these two.
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Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans Week 5 Prediction

Kansas City has earned its spot as the top team in the NFL right now behind some incredible balance across every phase of the game. While the Chiefs have clearly been the most complete team in the league through the first quarter of the schedule, the pressure to keep playing at this high of a level begins to mount. I am sensing a bit of a trap heading into Monday’s tilt against a fire-up Houston team coming off a huge win at home. This sets the stage for Kansas City’s first setback of the year.

Free Pick: Take the Texans +1
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