Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons Betting Odds - Free Pick
Date:
October 30, 4:25 pm
Location:
Georgia Dome
TV:
NBC Sports
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Atlanta - 3
Total:
52.5
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Green Bay had an easy 26-10 win over lowly Chicago last Thursday. Atlanta blew a 17-point lead before losing 33-30 to San Diego in OT last Sunday
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The Packers have injury concerns in the backfield meaning QB Aaron Rodgers will go to the air early and often in this one. He attempted 56 passes against the Bears and had 3 TD passes. He has gotten off to a slow start in 2016 and last week’s performance may have been what he and this offense needed to jumpstart their usual mojo. Rodgers will be facing a defense that allows 294.3 passing yards per game and 28.4 points per game. WRs Ty Montgomery and Randall Cobb were in the backfield several times last week as Green Bay is missing their top two backs. Both can run from this formation but are more deadly as receivers, especially if covered by a LB. WR Davante Adams is coming off a career performance (13-132-2) and WR Jordy Nelson remains a threat despite a slow start to the year. Newly-acquired RB Knile Davis and reserve RB Don Jackson will get some carries but I expect Rodgers to be pitching it around for most of the game.
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Atlanta’s offense posted big numbers last week but couldn’t get 1 yard when they needed to in the OT loss to the Chargers. Short yardage is not their specialty but RBs Tevin Coleman and Devonta Freeman can do damage in regular sets. Green Bay allows only 71.2 ypg on the ground but was gashed by the Cowboys 2 weeks ago. QB Matt Ryan has an impressive 16-4 TD/INT ratio and is having a great bounce-back campaign. The Packers pass defense is hampered by the absence of CB Sam Shields (concussion) and they don’t have a player who can stick with WR Julio Jones (40-830-4). Ryan also gets Coleman and Freeman involved in the passing game as they have combined to go 41-499-2 and both will be a handful for Green Bay to deal with.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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55% of the betting public are laying their money on the Falcon’s covering the point spread in this matchup with the Packers. Most over/under bettors believe this game will definitively go over the posted total of 52.5.
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Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons Prediction
I expect this game to be a track meet from the get go. Ryan and Rodgers should both have big contests against defenses dealing with injuries or youth in their secondaries. The fact the Falcons can also run the ball means the Packers have to worry about the run and pass. Six of Atlanta’s 7 games this season have reached 50 points while 5 have hit 55. While GB has only played in 2 contests that have eclipsed 49 points, they haven’t played many elite offenses. I expect this game to go over the number as both offenses feast on defenses not equipped to deal with them.
Free Pick:
Take the Over 52.5 (JS)
