Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars Lines - Free Point Spread Pick

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The Denver Broncos head to Florida to take on the Jacksonville Jaguars on the grass of EverBank Field. The Broncos hit the board as a -4.5 betting line favorite with the total opening at 43 points. We've seen both lines drop with the total consensus line at 41 and the majority of sportsbooks lowering Denver to -4.
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Denver let a late lead evaporate in a 30-27 OT loss to Kansas City last Sunday. Jacksonville suffered their 6th loss in a row in a 28-21 loss to Buffalo last week.
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Broncos QB Trevor Siemian had a big game last week (368 passing yards, 3 TD passes) and is performing much better than the man he replaced, Houston’s Brock Osweiler. He relies heavily on WRs Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders and needs to do a better job of finding other targets. The Jaguars allow only 204 passing yards per game but have picked off only 3 passes. If Siemian is patient, he should find receivers on shorter patterns. Denver QBs have been sacked 31 times on the year and they will face a familiar foe this week in DT Malik Jackson. He had 2 sacks last week and would like nothing better than to sack Siemian a bunch of times. Jacksonville’s run defense isn’t as good as their pass defense, so expect to see a lot of rookie RB Devontae Booker. He is averaging only 3.7 ypc but has seen a heavy workload since he assumed the starter’s role.
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Jacksonville’s offense has taken a big step back in 2016 because QB Blake Bortles has taken a big step back. He has thrown 13 interceptions and lost 3 fumbles. WRs Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns were both 1,000+ yards and 10+ TDs players last season but neither player looks capable of duplicating that feat this year. WR Marqise Lee has finally stepped up but isn’t a difference maker. The Broncos allow only 194 passing yards per game and have the CBs to stay with this trio of receivers. OLB Von Miller has 12.5 sacks on the year and had 3 against the Chiefs. As a group Denver has 35 sacks and should really give this o-line some trouble. RB Chris Ivory suffered a hamstring injury last week and is questionable for this game. RBs T.J. Yeldon and Denard Robinson are the next men up but neither is averaging more than 3.7 ypc. Bortles ran for 81 yards last week so the defense has to keep an eye on him on passing plays.
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Betting Trends<br />
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Jacksonville is 2-4 against the spread in its last 6 games.
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The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
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Jacksonville is 1-5 straight up in their last 6 games at home.
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Jacksonville is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Denver.
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The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing Denver.
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Public Money<br />
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The public is hitting the windows big time for the Broncos with 79% of the point spread bets. The total line wagering is nearly dead even with the OVER taking 51% of the O/U bets.
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