Dallas Cowboys at New England Patriots Week 12 Pick ATS

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Week 12 of this NFL season offers several excellent and important match-ups, including Sunday afternoon's inter-conference bout between the NFC East-leading Cowboys and the AFC East-leading Patriots in Foxboro. Dallas is 3-1 against the spread over its last four games, while New England is 5-1 ATS over its last six. How are we playing this game with our free NFL pick?
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NFL Betting Odds<br />
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Week 12's NFL betting odds opened New England at -7 over Dallas, with an over/under of right around 47. Early betting action then dipped the Patriots to -6.5, and that total to 46.
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Cowboys vs. Patriots Set-Up<br />
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Dallas is 3-1 both SU and ATS over its last four games, after winning at Detroit last week 35-27, covering as a seven-point favorite. The Cowboys spotted the Lions the first seven points of the game and trailed 14-10 in the second quarter but used a 25-7 run spanning the halves to take control, on their way to the victory and the money.
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On the day Dallas out-gained Detroit 509-312, as quarterback Dak Prescott threw for 444 yards and three scores, without an interception. So the Cowboys have now out-gained each of their last six opponents and out-rushed four of their previous six foes.
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At 6-4 overall, Dallas leads the NFC East by a game and a tie-breaker over second-place Philadelphia. However, the Cowboys trail Minnesota, which owns the second NFC wild-card spot at the moment, by a game and a half. So Dallas' best chance of making the playoffs is probably to hold off the Eagles in the divisional race.
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New England, meanwhile, just bounced back from that loss at Baltimore earlier this month to win at Philadelphia last week 17-10. The Patriots spotted the Eagles the first 10 points of the game, then scored the final 17 for the victory and the cover as favorites of 4.5 points.
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On the day New England only produced 298 yards of total offense and one offensive touchdown. But the defense limited the Eagles to just 255 yards, a 3/14 performance on 3rd and 4th downs and one controversial touchdown.
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The Patriots have now out-gained five of their last six opponents, but they've also been out-rushed each of their previous four games.
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At 9-1 overall, New England leads the AFC East by two games and a tie-breaker over Buffalo. The Patriots also lead the AFC by one game over Baltimore, but the Ravens own the head-to-head tie-breaker on the Pats.
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These two teams last met four seasons ago, a 30-6 Patriots victory in Texas. That made New England QB Tom Brady 4-0 in his career against the Cowboys.
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NFL Betting Trends<br />
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Dallas is 3-2 both SU and ATS on the road this season.
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Dallas is 38-20 SU, 31-24-3 ATS, with Dak Prescott as the starter at QB.
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Dallas is 1-3 both SU and ATS this season against teams at .500 or better right now.
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New England is 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS at home this season.
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New England is 2-1 ATS when favored by less than a touchdown this season.
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New England is 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS against teams at .500 or better right now.
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Totals Report<br />
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Overs are 7-3 in Cowboys games this season, which are averaging 48 total points.<br />
Unders are 7-3 in Patriots games this season, which are averaging 40 points.<br />
Unders are 80-78 in the NFL this season.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/nfl/matchup/1110048">Dallas at New England Betting Stats</a> </span>
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