Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills Betting Lines - Point Spread Pick 12/27/2015
Date:
December 27, 1:00 pm
Location:
Ralph Wilson Stadium
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Bills -6
Total:
42.5
<p>
<b>Season's Record:</b> Cowboys 4-10 Bills 6-8
</p>
<p>
Dallas gave up a 40-yard FG with 36 seconds left to lose 19-16 to the Jets on Saturday. QB Matt Cassel was 3-8 for 37 yards and a pick but was lifted after being sacked for a 19-yard loss. QB Kellen Moore made his first NFL appearance, finishing 15-25 for 158 yards, a TD and 3 interceptions. Despite the picks, he showed something in his first game. RB Darren McFadden ran for 100 yards on 16 carries as the Cowboys finished with 133 yards on 21 carries. They probably should have run the ball more. The defense played well vs. the run (26-73) not so the pass (299 yards).
</p>
<p>
Buffalo trailed 21-0 at halftime and lost 35-25 to Washington on Sunday. QB Tyrod Taylor was 16-27 for 235 yards and 2 TDs but was sacked 5 times. Buffalo used 7 different players in the running game and totaled 240 yards on 31 carries. RB LeSean McCoy was held to 29 yards on 10 carries. WR Sammy Watkins finished 5-111-2. The defense allowed 123 rushing yards and had 1 sack. They were gauged in the passing game, allowing 319 yards, 4 TD passes and a 13-yard TD run by QB Kirk Cousins.
</p>
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<div class="heading">
Betting Trends to Consider
</div>
<ul>
<li>
Dallas is 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog vs. AFC teams but 1-1-1 this year.
</li>
<li>
The Cowboys are 0-8 ATS in their final road game of the season, including playoffs, since 2007.
</li>
<li>
Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games.
</li>
<li>
The Bills have recorded 8 overs and 16 unders in their last 24 non-divisional contests.
</li>
</ul>
<div class="heading">
Public Money
</div>
<p>
This weekend's Dallas at Buffalo NFL week 16 match-up has the public evenly split on the point spread. Moneyline bettors are heavily favoring Dallas at 81% confidence and those who wager on totals are split on the under/over line of 42.5.
</p>
Dallas Cowboys at Buffalo Bills Prediction
The Bills are beat up on the defensive line and at LB and it has shown allowing 130.75 yards per game. over their last four. They've now allowed eight of their last nine opponents to run for more than 100 yards after holding four of the first five to fewer than 100 and all five to 102 or fewer. That could be an issue this week facing one of the better offensive lines in the NFL and this running game seems to be getting on track running for 133 yards against the very good run defense of the Jets last week. They'll have Kellen Moore behind center making his first start of his career, but the Cowboys didn't hold back on the play calling with Moore throwing 25 passes, so I don't think that Dallas will have him playing conservative against the Bills if they stack the box. Buffalo will be going up against a defense that has proven that they can stop the run on the road allowing 99.4 yards per game and will likely be without their top RB LeSean McCoy. That will put a lot of pressure on their passing offense which is short handed with their No. 2 WR Robert Woods out TE Charles Clay iffy to play.
Free Pick:
Take the Dallas Cowboys +6 -CK
