Baltimore Ravens at Green Bay Packers Point Spread Pick - Odds - Free NFL Prediction

Rich Crew
Date: November 19, 1:00 pm
Location: Lambeau Field
TV: CBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Ravens -2.5
Total: 38.5

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The Baltimore Ravens head to Green Bay to take on the Packers in Week 11 NFL action. The odds board lists the Ravens as a small -2 road favorites with the total hung on the board at 37.5 points. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for Sunday November 18, 2017 at 1:00 PM EST on Lambeau Field.
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Baltimore had their bye last week. The Ravens have had a very up and down year as they have won games by 20, 14 23 and 40 points and lost games by 37, 17, 8 and 3 (twice). They rank last in the NFL in passing at 165.7 ypg as QB Joe Flacco has dealt with a neck injury. The 2 leading receivers are a RB and a TE. The running game has been better than expected behind ex-Seahawk RB Alex Collins (5.6 ypc). The defense remains the team strength but they haven’t been able to contain opponents’ running games (126 ypg). The pass defense has been good and they have picked off 13 passes compared to 11 TD passes allowed.
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Green Bay ended their 3-game losing streak with a 23-16 victory over Chicago last Sunday. QB Brett Hundley was 18-25 for 212 yards and a TD pass. He didn’t cough up the ball but was sacked 3 times. WR Davante Adams had 5 catches for 90 yards and a TD. Six different ballcarriers combined for 160 yards on 37 carries as injuries knocked out RBs Ty Montgomery and rookie Aaron Jones. The defense gave up 268 passing yards but had 5 sacks, 3 by OLB Nick Perry. They also held the Bears to 55 yards rushing on 17 carries.
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<b>Last Matchup </b> 2013 – Packers 19-17
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Baltimore at Green Bay Trends to Consider<br />
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Baltimore is 8-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 1 point following a week of rest.
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The Ravens have recorded 10 overs and 4 unders in their last 14 games.
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Green Bay is 9-0 ATS as an underdog of 2+ points vs. AFC opponents.
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The Packers are 15-2 ATS following a divisional encounter, since 2014.
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Injury Report<br />
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<b>Ravens: </b>
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LT Ronnie Stanley is doubtful as he’s still dealing with a concussion and RCB Jimmy Smith is likely to be a “Game Time Decision” on Sunday. RB Danny Woodhead appears set to return from his hamstring injury.
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<b>Packers:</b>
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Green Bay’s top two running backs Ty Montgomery and Aaron Jones have been ruled out. RT Bryan Bulaga and SS Morgan Burnett are also out.
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<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
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The public money is close, but the Ravens do hold a 52% to 48% edge in tickets at the time of writing. The total has been all about the over with just under two thirds (64%) of the public action being wagered on that side of the total line.
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Baltimore at Green Bay Prediction Week 11

The Packers have one win in their last four games and that came last week against the Bears. Green Bay’s running game was solid with 160 yards on the ground, but the bad news is that they benefitted from RB T. Montgomery’s 54 yards on 6 carries and RB Aaron Jones 12 yards on three carries. They both will be out this week leaving RB Jamaal Williams to pick up the slack. He picked up 67 yards on 20 carries in that win, but he hasn’t proven to be as explosive. If Baltimore can contain the running game, which I think they can, I don’t see QB Brett Hundley winning this game with his arm against the second-best pass defense in the NFL. Add in that the Ravens get back another weapon back on offense and they should be able to put enough points on the board to get the win and the cover. RB Danny Woodhead is set to return, and he looked good in Week 1 before getting hurt with three catches for 33 yards and he’ll go against a defense that has struggled covering backs in the passing game.

Free Pick: Take the Baltimore Ravens -2.5 (RC)
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