Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers ACC Championship Pick

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers ACC Championship Pick

Darin Zank
Date: December 7, 7:30 pm
Location: Bank of America Stadium
TV: ABC

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Clemson -28
Total: 55

<p>
Clemson shoots for its fifth conference championship in a row when it meets Virginia in the ACC title game Saturday evening in Charlotte. The defending national champion Tigers are also chasing a berth in the upcoming College Football Playoff, but thanks to a weak schedule, they might not have any room for error. They're also favored by four touchdowns. Who do we like here for our free college football pick?
</p>
<h2>
College Football Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
College football's ACC championship game betting odds opened Clemson at -28 over Virginia, with an over/under of right around 55. Both those figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
</p>
<h2>
Cavaliers vs. Tigers Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Virginia rides a four-game winning streak into Saturday, after finally defeating rival Virginia Tech last week 39-30. The Cavaliers, who had lost 15 in a row to the Hokies, jumped out to a 13-3 lead but trailed 30-27 midway through the fourth quarter. UVA then scored the last 12 points of the game, the game-clinching six on a sack-fumble recovery in the end zone with a minute to go, for the victory and its first ACC Coastal Division title.
</p>
<p>
On the day, the Cavs produced 492 yards of total offense but gave up 483 yards of Virginia Tech offense. Virginia also lost time of possession by a 34:26 split but won the turnover battle 3-1.
</p>
<p>
Two weeks ago, the Cavaliers beat Liberty 55-27; three weeks ago, they defeated Georgia Tech 33-28, and four weeks ago, they beat North Carolina 38-31. So Virginia is averaging 41 points over its last four games, but it's also allowing 29 per over that span.
</p>
<p>
At 9-3 overall, the Cavaliers are headed for a decent bowl, but a case could be made they've already reached their goal for this season with that division title.
</p>
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<p>
Clemson, meanwhile, flies a 27-game winning streak into Saturday, after disposing of rival South Carolina in the Poinsettia Bowl last week 38-3. The Tigers scored the first 14 points of the game, let the Gamecocks kick a field goal, then scored the final 24 points of the game for the win and the cover as 27-point favorites.
</p>
<p>
On the day Clemson out-gained South Carolina 527-174, made 30 first downs to just nine for the 'Cocks, won the ground battle 211-69 and held a 35:25 time of possession advantage.
</p>
<p>
The Tigers' defense still hasn't allowed 300 yards in a game this season.
</p>
<p>
Two weeks ago, Clemson beat Wake Forest 52-3, and three weeks ago, they beat North Carolina State 55-10. So the Tigers have won their last three games by a combined scored of 145-16, covering spreads of 27, 34, and 35 points.
</p>
<p>
At 12-0 overall, Clemson sits at No. 3 in this week's CFP standings. But thanks to a weak schedule, the Tigers will probably still need to win this game to guarantee themselves a spot in the Playoff.
</p>
<p>
These two teams last met back in 2013, a 59-10 Clemson victory.
</p>
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<h2>
College Football Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Virginia is 17-8 SU, 15-9-1 ATS with Bryce Perkins at quarterback.
</li>
<li>
Virginia is 4-6 ATS its last ten times out as a double-digit dog.
</li>
<li>
Clemson is 23-0 SU, 17-5-1, with Trevor Lawrence starting at QB.
</li>
<li>
Clemson is 4-1 ATS this season when favored by between 24 and 31 points.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Overs are 8-4 in Cavaliers games this season, which are averaging 58 total points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 7-5 in Tigers games this season, even though they're averaging 55 points.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1217148">Georgia at LSU NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>

Virginia at Clemson Prediction 12/7/2019

Barring a minor miracle, Clemson is going to win this game; the only unknown is the margin of victory. We expect the Tigers to put up between 40 and 45 points, but we can also see Perkins leading Virginia to 21-24 points, which would put the Wahoos seven points inside the cover. We'll take UVA and the points here.

Free Pick: Take Virginia +28
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