Vanderbilt Commodores at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Odds - Free College Football Pick
Date:
September 2, 8:00 pm
Location:
Floyd Stadium
TV:
TBA
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
MTSU +5.5
Total:
OFF
<p>
The Vanderbilt Commodores will renew their rivalry with cross-state rival Middle Tennessee State in a primetime meeting scheduled to take place at Floyd Stadium in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. The contest will pit the Conference-USA against the SEC. In 2016, the contest was not much of a competitive one as Vanderbilt rolled the Blue Raiders by a score of 47-24 in Nashville. The contest will take place on Saturday, September 2nd, 2017 at 8:00 PM ET.
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<h2>
Vanderbilt Commodores at Middle Tennessee State Overview<br />
</h2>
<p>
Both teams come in on losing notes after suffering defeats in their respective bowl games to wrap up their 2016 campaigns. In this rivalry series overall, the ebb and flow has been constant as each team has won two of the last four meetings between the combatants. Previous to Vanderbilt’s dominance against Middle Tennessee State in 2016, the three preceding meetings were settled by a margin of four points or less.
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<p>
Middle Tennessee State returns an excellent passer in Brent Stockstill but their defense was their fatal flaw in 2016 as they lost several games by virtue of their defense not getting the job done despite prolific offensive output. The Blue Raiders’ loss in the Hawaii Bowl encapsulates such a phenomenon as they jumped out to an early lead only to relinquish it on the back-end in an insidious 52-35 defeat. For Vanderbilt, the Commodores return a tough and gritty defense complemented by one of the nation’s best rushers in Ralph Webb.
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<h2>
Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
Underdog is 4-1 ATS in last 5 meetings between the two.
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Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 contests between Vandy and ETSU.
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Over is 5-0 ATS in last 5 MTSU home games.
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Vanderbilt has won the last 2 meetings overall.
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</ul>
Vanderbilt Commodores at Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders Prediction
Laying chalk is not typically our cup of tea but in this case, it may very well be warranted. In the early going we have seen this line diminish by 3.5 points in some markets to where it stands now. Consensus numbers argue otherwise as 66% like the Dores in the current situation from an action perspective. However, in this instance it may be more compelling to side with the public. Overall, Vanderbilt is not a team many are accustomed to spotting points with. The proposition of such an event against a team with an offense that can be incendiary is an even greater temptation to take the points, given the fact Middle Tennessee State is known as a tough team to beat at home. However, Middle Tennessee State is as good as any team in producing let-downs. As a 19-point home favorite last year against the UTSA Road Runners, the Blue Raiders would be utterly embarrassed when they fell by a margin of 20 points. The same situation can materialize here against a far better team.
Free Pick:
Take Vanderbilt -5.5
