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Oklahoma State rattled-off 10 straight-up wins before dropping its last two contests to fall out of the picture for the College Football Playoff. The first loss came at the hands of Baylor in a 45-35 loss as a three-point home underdog. The Cowboys finished the season with a 58-23 road loss to rival Oklahoma as 7.5-point underdogs. The total has now gone OVER in their last six games with a scoring average of 45 points over this same stretch.
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While there is no doubt that Oklahoma State can put points on the board behind a passing offense that was ranked seventh in the nation with 357.3 yards per game, the Cowboys remain a bit one dimensional with an average of just 132.2 yards a game on the ground. They may need to squeeze more production out of that running game with quarterback Mason Rudolph listed as questionable with a foot injury. The other concern in this matchup is a defense that appeared to wear down as the season wore on. Over Oklahoma State's last five outings this unit allowed 43.2 PPG as opposed to a season average of 29.0 PPG.
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The Rebels made an early statement this season with a stunning 43-37 upset over Alabama as nine-point road underdogs, but bad losses to Florida, Memphis and Arkansas as favorites derailed any shot at getting into the nation's top four. Overall, they went 9-3 SU with a 7-4-1 record against the spread. Ole Miss was a profitable 4-2-1 ATS in their final seven games and the total stayed UNDER in eight of its last nine games.
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Mississippi's offense also did a good job at moving the ball through the air behind quarterback Chad Kelly. He passed for 3,740 yards and 27 touchdowns while completing 65.2 percent of his 425 attempts. The running game averaged a solid 181.1 yards a game with Jaylen Walton leading the way. The Rebels put up an average of 40.4 points a game, which was the 14th-highest total in the nation and on defense they held opposing teams to 22.8 PPG.
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Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Mississippi Rebels Game Betting Trends
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The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral-site games, but they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games against the SEC.
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The Rebels are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six bowl games, but they fall to 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games played at a neutral site.
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These two last met in the 2010 Cotton Bowl with Ole Miss cruising to a 21-7 victory as a three-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER the 51-point closing line.
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