North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes Pick ATS - Odds and Betting Preview

David Schwab
Date: September 27, 8:00 pm
Location: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: FSN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Miami -18
Total: OFF

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The ACC gets things started on Thursday night with the North Carolina Tar Heels on the road against the Miami Hurricanes. Miami comes into this game as an 18-point home favorite on 5Dimes betting board.
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The North Carolina Tar Heels square off against the Miami Hurricanes this Thursday night on ESPN. Game time for this ACC Coastal Division clash is set for 8 p.m.
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North Carolina at Miami Overview<br />
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Following road losses to California and East Carolina to start the season, the Tar Heels came away with an encouraging 38-35 victory against Pittsburgh on Saturday as three-point home underdogs in their ACC opener. The total went well OVER the closing 48-point line, and it has gone OVER in two of their first three games. North Carolina is 1-5 straight-up in its last six road games with a 2-3-1 record against the spread.
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Quarterback Nathan Elliott is coming off a solid performance against the Panthers with 313 yards passing with two touchdown throws against zero interceptions. He completed 22 of his 31 passing attempts. Antonio Williams paced a running game that gained 173 yards on 40 carries with 114 yards of his own on 16 rushing attempts. He also made his way into the end zone twice running the ball. There are still some significant concerns with a defense that is allowing an average of 33.3 points per game.
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Shaking off a 33-17 loss to LSU in their season opener as three-point favorites, the Hurricanes improved to 3-1 SU on the year with Saturday's 31-17 victory against Florida International. They failed to cover as 26.5-point favorites, and the total stayed UNDER 58 points after going OVER in their first three games. Miami is 12-1 straight up in its last 13 home games, but it falls to 1-4 ATS in its previous five games against North Carolina.
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N’Kosi Perry made his bid for the starting role as quarterback after coming off the bench in Saturday’s win to throw three scoring strikes. He ended the game with 224 total yards passing after completing his first 10 throws. Malik Rosier has been the starter early in the season. The Hurricanes are averaging 239.8 passing yards a game with another 209.5 yards a game on the ground. Travis Homer has been the team’s leading rusher with 276 yards and one score on 48 rushing attempts.
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North Carolina at Miami Betting Trends<br />
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The Tar Heels have covered in their last four conference games and they grabbed the ATS win in their previous four games against a team with a straight up winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games played on a Thursday.
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The Hurricanes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven ACC games, but they have a 10-4 record ATS in their last 14 September games. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last nine games against a conference opponent.
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Head-to-head, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and the total has stayed UNDER in the previous four meetings in Miami.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href=" https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/975533"&gt; North Carolina at Miami NCAAF Match-Up</a></span>
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North Carolina at Miami Prediction 09/27/2018

North Carolina is a different team playing at home so winning SU on the road would be a tall task. However, I am not sold on Miami as the No. 16 team in the nation. The Hurricanes have the talent to cover the 18 points at home, but there are still some issues on both sides of the ball that could give Miami some matchup problems against the Tar Heels.

The win against Pitt as a slight home underdog gives North Carolina some solid momentum heading into Thursday night. On a short week, I will take the points and the Tar Heels to cover.

Free Pick: North Carolina +18
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