<p>
Kentucky owns a four-game winning streak in the series with Missouri, going 3-1 against the spread along the way, but needed a minor miracle to beat the Tigers last season. Now the Wildcats find themselves lined as double-digit home dogs for Saturday evening's SEC East match-up with Mizzou in Lexington. Who do we like here for our free college football pick?
</p>
<h2>
College Football Betting Odds<br />
</h2>
<p>
Week 9's college football betting odds opened Mizzou at -9.5 over Kentucky, with an over/under of right around 47. Early betting action then bumped the Tigers to -10 and dipped that total to 46.
</p>
<h2>
Tigers vs. Wildcats Set-Up<br />
</h2>
<p>
Missouri is 5-2 on the season, 2-1 in SEC play, but coming off a disappointing 21-14 loss at Vanderbilt last week. The Tigers, playing as ranked 21-point favorites, trailed the Commodores 7-0 and 14-7, twice tied the game, but fell behind again early in the fourth quarter and could not respond.
</p>
<p>
Bettors who backed Missouri on the money line last week took a nasty hit at a price of -1900.
</p>
<p>
On the day the Tigers, who had won five games in a row heading in, got out-gained by Vandy 313-293, missed two field goals, threw an interception from the Commodores' 9-yard line, committed 120 yards worth of penalties and allowed Vanderbilt to run the last six minutes off the clock.
</p>
<p>
Prior to last week, Missouri had out-gained every opponent this season and out-rushed five of six foes.
</p>
<p>
At 2-1 in conference play, the Tigers trail 4-1 Florida by a full game in the SEC East, with 3-1 Georgia in between, and Mizzou has to play both those two coming up.
</p>
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<p></aside></p>
<p>
Kentucky, meanwhile, is 3-4 on the season, 1-4 in SEC play, after falling in the rain at Georgia last week 21-0. The Wildcats actually played the Bulldogs to a 0-0 tie well into the third quarter, faded from there, but hung on just enough to cover the spread as 23-point dogs.
</p>
<p>
On the night, Kentucky only produced 163 yards of total offense but held Georgia to just 279 yards. Obviously, the weather played a factor.
</p>
<p>
The Wildcats had chances to keep last week's game closer but came up empty on drives that reached the Bulldogs' 9- and 24-yard lines.
</p>
<p>
Two weeks ago, Kentucky picked up its first conference victory of the season, 24-20 over Arkansas. So the Wildcats need three wins over their last five games to become bowl-eligible.
</p>
<h2>
Tigers-Wildcats Recent History<br />
</h2>
<p>
As mentioned above, Kentucky is 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS over the last four games in this series. Last year in Columbia, the Wildcats trailed the Tigers 14-3 well into the fourth quarter but scored on a punt return and on a controversial play run with no time on the clock to steal a 15-14 victory.
</p>
<h2>
College Football Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Missouri is 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS against Power 5 opponents this season.
</li>
<li>
Missouri 3-4 SU, 2-5 ATS over its last seven true road games.
</li>
<li>
Missouri is 7-3 ATS its last ten games lined as a favorite of between 7-14 points.
</li>
<li>
Kentucky is 1-4 SU but 3-2 ATS against Power 5 foes this season.
</li>
<li>
Kentucky is 2-0 ATS since inserting wide receiver Lynn Bowden at quarterback.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Totals Report<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Unders are 5-2 in Missouri games this season, which are averaging 52 total points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 4-3 in Kentucky games this season, which are averaging just 43 points.
</li>
<li>
Unders are 4-1 over the last five Tigers-Wildcats games.
</li>
</ul>
<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116357 ">Missouri at Kentucky NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
</li>
</ul>
<p></section></p>