Florida State Seminoles at North Carolina State Wolfpack Point Spread Pick

Florida State Seminoles at North Carolina State Wolfpack Point Spread Pick

David Schwab
Date: November 5, 7:00 pm
Location: at Carter-Finley Stadium
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Florida State -5.5
Total: 58

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This Saturday night at Carter-Finley Stadium, the Florida State Seminoles and the North Carolina State Wolfpack square off against one another in a battle between two ACC Atlantic Division teams in need of a win. Game time from Raleigh is set for 7 p.m. (ET) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPNU.
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Florida State at NC State Game Overview<br />
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The Seminoles fell to 5-3 straight-up with a 4-4 record against the spread with last week’s 37-34 loss to Clemson as four-point home underdogs. The total went OVER the 59-point closing line in that loss after staying UNDER in their previous four games. Florida State has covered in two of three road games this season, but it is just 2-4 ATS when closing as a favorite.
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Freshman quarterback Deondre Francois threw for 286 yards and a score in the loss to Clemson and Dalvin Cook added another 169 yards on the ground while rushing for four touchdowns. Florida State has shown some solid balance on offense all season long with 273.4 yards through the air and 206.9 yards on the ground as part of a scoring average of 34.8 points a game. The main reason the Seminoles have been strapped with three losses is a defense that is allowing 29.9 points on the other side of the ball.
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NC State started the season on a strong note with four wins in its first five games both SU and ATS, but with last week’s stunning 21-14 loss to Boston College as a heavy 16-point home favorite, it current losing streak has reached three games while going 1-2 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 43 in last week’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in three of its last four games.
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The Wolfpack’s offense has basically ground to a halt the past four games with a combined total of just 54 points. Included in that stretch were losses to Clemson and Louisville, but they could not get back on track against Boston College which has to be a cause for concern. Ryan Finley has thrown for 1,815 yards and 13 touchdowns and Matthew Dayes has led the way on the ground with 727 rushing yards and four scores, but it is hard to see this unit keeping pace with the Seminoles this Saturday night given its current form.
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Florida State at NC State Game Betting Trends<br />
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The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and they have covered in their last four games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight road games.
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The Wolfpack are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record and they are 2-5 ATS in their last seven ACC games. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in six of their last eight home games.
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Head-to-head in this matchup, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings at NC State.
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Florida State at NC State Prediction

Florida State has been a very frustrating team to bet on this season since you are never really sure what kind of effort you are going to get from this team on a weekly basis. You might expect a letdown this week given such a tough loss, but the Seminoles are facing a team that has gone into a tailspin of its own.

I was high on the Wolfpack earlier in the season, but this is a team headed in the wrong direction following such a promising start. I will gladly lay the 5.5 points on the road and take the Seminoles to bounce back with a convincing win on Saturday night.

Free Pick: Take Florida State -5.5
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