Bowling Green Falcons at Memphis Tigers Betting Odds - Free Pick
Date:
September 24, 8:00 pm
Location:
Liberty Bowl Stadium
TV:
ESPN
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Memphis -16.5
Total:
68.5
<p>
The Bowling Green Falcons (1-2) will travel to the Liberty Bowl to take on the undefeated Memphis Tigers (2-0) for a scheduled kick-off of 8:00 PM. The last meeting between the two sides was a high octane shootout where the Tigers edged out the Falcons by a score of 44-41. The game will be broadcasted on ESPNews for selected audiences.
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Bowling Green Falcons at Memphis Tigers Overview
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<p>
Bowling Green has had a tough run of things as of late. Dating back to last season, the Falcons are 1-3 in their last four games but this comes against some excellent football teams. The list of Bowling Green perpetrators, include Georgia Southern, Ohio State and Middle Tennessee State. Bowling Green is still getting used to life without Matt Johnson at quarterback and thus it has been hard for the Falcons after falling 41-21 against the Blue Raiders, last Saturday.
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<p>
Memphis (2-0) enters off a dominant 43-7 victory against Kansas but again this is not really saying much in the grand scheme of things. Memphis though they are currently without a loss no longer have Coach Justin Fuente at the helm, captaining the ship and they no longer NFL First Round Draft Pick quarterback Paxton Lynch either. The Tigers have been beating up weaker opponents to scoop up a couple of quick and easy wins. Against their last opponent of consequence, Memphis was defeated 31-10 by Auburn in the Birmingham Bowl.
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<div class="heading">
Public Money
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<p>
The public is leaning quite heavily on Memphis to cover the 16.5 point spread with 83% confidence, while the over/under bettors believe this game will go over the posted line of 68.5 at 74%.
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Betting Trends
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<ul>
<li>
Bowling Green is 1-3 SU in their last 4 matches.
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<li>
Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 fixtures.
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Tigers are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 contests.
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<li>
Tigers are 3-3 SU in their last 6 contests.
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</ul>
Bowling Green Falcons at Memphis Tigers Prediction
An outstanding 99% of the consensus are willing to spot the points to the Falcons and take the home favorites Memphis. For Over/Under markets, the line currently sits at 68.5, despite opening at 61 showcasing that this market has moved by a touchdown and half a point. Traditionally in a situation where we see such heavy leans, a contrarian angle can often be useful and profitable. When nearly all the public are one team, there is a great chance that team is set up for a letdown. Bottom line, Bowling Green’s record is a bit deceiving. Middle Tennessee State is a quality outfit that is a true dark horse for the Conference USA. Middle Tennessee State’s performance against Bowling Green directly reflects that. Let us not forget that Memphis has not beaten anyone of consequence yet this year and this will be a step up in competition. While a shootout may in fact be on the horizon, the stark line movements in Over/Under markets compels us to go under as each team will be entering this contest without the critical playmakers they had at quarterback a year ago when they met at Bowling Green.
Free Pick:
Take Bowling Green +16.5 and Under 68.5
