The Boise State Broncos (1-2) are set to face the San Diego State Aztecs (2-2) at Snapdragon Stadium on September 22, 2023, at 10:30 PM. The odds from Bet365 indicate a tighter contest, with the moneyline at -280 for the Broncos and 230 for the Aztecs. The spread stands at -7, favoring the Broncos, while the total is set at 45.5. Let's dive deeper into the teams' performances to set the stage for this showdown.

Boise State Broncos Recent Games

Looking at the recent form, the Broncos have had a turbulent start to the season with a 1-2 record. Their offense has been decent, with an average of 25.7 points per game. However, the defense seems to be their Achilles' heel, letting in 30.7 points on average. Despite this, they have performed well against the spread, covering in two of the three games. Their key strength lies in their passing game, boasting 235.67 yards on average per game.

San Diego State Aztecs Recent Games

On the flip side, the Aztecs have a balanced 2-2 record to kick off their campaign. Their defense has been slightly better compared to the Broncos, conceding 25.50 points per game, but the offense has been a bit dull, managing only 18.75 points per game. Their recent home record is a concern, going 1-4 ATS in the last five home games. They have a stable running game with an average of 145 rushing yards per game but will need to tighten up their passing defense, which allows 282.75 yards on average.

Top 5 Reasons to Bet on San Diego State

Despite the challenges, here are the top 5 reasons why betting on San Diego State could be a smart move:

Better Defense

The Aztecs have allowed 25.5 points per game compared to Boise State's 30.7 points. However, the Broncos' number is skewed by 56 points allowed to the Huskies.

Head-to-Head Record

Holds a commendable 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 encounters with Boise State.

Home Advantage

With the game being held at Snapdragon Stadium, they have the home-field advantage, which historically has been favorable for them.

Strong ATS Record against Boise State

They have covered the spread in six of the last eight games against Boise State.

Underdog Betting Value

Given their underdog status in the betting odds, betting on the Aztecs might offer more value, especially considering their recent head-to-head performances.