Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys Week 8 Pick

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys Week 8 Pick

The Green Man
Date: October 19, 4:00 pm
Location: Boone Pickens Stadium
TV: Fox

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oklahoma State -3.5
Total: 67.5

<h2>
Outlook for Saturday Kickoff<br />
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<p>
28th ranked Baylor puts their perfect record on the line hitting the road to face Oklahoma State, who are well-rested after a bye week. Both teams faced Texas Tech in a Big 12 matchup in their last game with Baylor beating them 33-30 in OT and Oklahoma State losing to them 45-35. The Bears are tied with Oklahoma for first place in the Big 12, and they host the Sooners in their season finale. They rank in the top 40 in the nation in passing and rushing yards per game, and while their three Big 12 wins have been solid ones, they still have yet to play a ranked team this season.
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<p>
Oklahoma State has lost two of their last three games, and they have been costly losses both in conference play. They have the 8th ranked offense, and the 7th ranked rushing offense led by Chuba Hubbard, who leads the nation in rushing yards, but the defense only ranks 89th in the country. Last season at Baylor, the Bears beat the Cowboys 35-31. In the 10-point loss to Texas Tech in their previous game, the Oklahoma State shot themselves in the foot with five turnovers, and they did not force any.
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<h2>
How the Public is Betting the Baylor vs. Oklahoma State Game<br />
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<p>
The public has been backing Oklahoma State as they opened as a 3-point favorite, and as of Wednesday are now a 3.5-point favorite. While the spread has not moved, the total has, as this Big 12 showdown opened with a total of 63.5 and is currently 67.5.
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<h3>
Injury Concerns<br />
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<b>Baylor: </b>
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Baylor does not have many injury concerns coming into this game, but OL Connor Galvin is out until mid-November, and RB Craig Williams is out indefinitely.
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<b>Oklahoma State:</b>
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<p>
OSU also comes into this game without many injury concerns with LB Calvin Bundage, who is out indefinitely, the only player on the injury report.
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<h3>
When Baylor Has the Ball<br />
</h3>
<p>
Baylor showed their balance in their 33-30 win over Texas Tech in their last game, as they had 352 passing yards and 173 rushing yards. Charlie Brewer (1,554 yards 11 TD 3 INT) passed for 352 yards with no TD, and he threw three picks, which were his first interceptions of the season. John Lovett (389 yards 3 TD) is the leading rusher for the Bears and JaMycal Hasty and QB Gerry Bohanon, who has rarely been under center on the season, have combined for 397 rushing yards. Denzel Mims (503 yards 5 TD) and Tyquan Thornton (411 yards 3 TD) have been Brewer's top two targets, and each is averaging over 15 yards per reception.
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<h3>
When Oklahoma State Has the Ball<br />
</h3>
<p>
It is key that the Cowboys hold onto the rock, which they could not do in their last game with five turnovers. QB Spencer Sanders would like to replay the Texas Tech game, as while he passed for 290 yards and a couple of TD, he accounted for all of the turnovers with three interceptions and two fumbles. How Hubbard goes, the Cowboys go. He only had eight carries in the 56-14 win over McNeese State in the 2nd game of the season, but in every other game he has at least 25 carries and in those games in the three wins rushed for at least 221 yards and in the two losses rushed for 156 and 121 yards respectively. In the last match, Hubbard rushed for 156 yards with TD and averaged a legit 4.6 yards per carry, but the turnovers doomed OSU. He will be facing a solid Baylor run defense that ranks 28th in the nation but did allow 148 rushing yards in their last game. Tylan Wallace has 703 receiving yards to lead the Cowboys while the next leading WR is Dillon Stoner with 224 yards.
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<h2>
Betting Trends<br />
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<p>
On the season, Baylor is 3-3 ATS, and they failed to cover in their last game as a double-digit home favorite. Oklahoma State had covered the spread in their first five games of the season before failing to do so in their previous game. The Cowboys are 9-1 ATS in their last ten games against the Bears, and the home team has covered in seven of the last nine games between these conference rivals. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their previous five road games while OSU has covered in their past five home games. In the last nine games between these teams at Oklahoma State the Over record is 6-2-1.
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<h3>
Weather Report<br />
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The forecast for Saturday is partly cloudy with a high of 76 degrees and a low of 52 degrees. There is a 20% rain for the day, and a northern wind of 12 MPH is expected.
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<p><section></p>
<ul>
<li>
<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaaf/matchup/1116117">Baylor at Oklahoma State NCAAF Match-up Stats</a> </span>
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</ul>
<p></section></p>

Baylor at Oklahoma State Prediction 10/19/19

This game has a shootout written all over it., as each team can light up the scoreboard, and I expect they both will participate in this game. Both of the Cowboys losses have been on the road, and back at home, they will not be as sloppy as in their last match where they coughed up the rock five times. Hubbard will have another big game, and OSU will get the win and cover handing Baylor their first loss of the season.

Free Pick: Take Oklahoma State -3.5
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