Virginia Cavaliers vs. Villanova Wildcats NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Villanova Wildcats NCAAB Pick - Odds - Free ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: January 29, 1:00 pm
Location: Wells Fargo Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Villanova -5
Total: 123

<p>
The top-ranked Villanova Wildcats host the 12th ranked Virginia Cavaliers in a non-conference game that will take place at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia at 1 PM ET. Pennsylvania. Virginia has won 16 of their 19 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 11 of the 17 games that have had a posted line. Villanova has won 19 of their 21 games this season and they have covered the spread in 12 of the 20 games that have had a posted line.
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<p>
Virginia is coming off a 71-54 win over a ranked Notre Dame team in their last game where they covered the spread as a 1.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 125, which was under the closing line of 129.5. The Cavaliers have covered the spread in four of their last five games and in their last three games the total has gone under every time. Virginia has won five straight games since losing back-to-back games facing a ranked Louisville team and Pittsburgh.
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<p>
Villanova is coming off a 74-72 loss to Marquette in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 146, which was under the closing line of 151.5. Villanova has failed to cover the spread in their last two games while they had done so in their previous four games. In four of their last five games the total has gone under.
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<p>
Offensively, Virginia is putting up 69.6 points per game on a 49.6% FG average, which ranks 11th in the nation. On defense the Cavaliers are allowing 53.3 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 38.5% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation.
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<p>
Villanova is putting up 78.3 points per game on a 49.7% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball the Wildcats are allowing 62.6 points per game, which ranks 16th in the nation on a 41.2% FG average.
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<p>
These teams met last season at Virginia where the Cavaliers beat the Wildcats 86-75.
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<h2>
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Villanova Wildcats Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Virginia is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games.
</li>
<li>
The Cavaliers are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 road games.
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<li>
The game total has gone under in 13 of Virginia’s last 15 road games.
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<li>
Villanova is 17-8 against the spread in their last 25 games.
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<li>
The Wildcats are 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 home games.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Virginia and Villanova see the public leaning to the Wildcats minus the 5 points with over 65%. The over/under bettors believe this game will go over the posted total line of 123 with a whopping 83% confidence.
</p>

Virginia Cavaliers at Villanova Wildcats Prediction

Both teams play good defense with Virginia allowing a nation best 53.3 points per game and the 'Nova allowing a very good 16th ranked 62.6 PPG. In conference play the defensive scoring numbers are higher for each club, but that doesn't concern me as the Cavs and Wildcats not only hold the opposition to low shooting percentages they limit the opportunities.

Free Pick: Take the Under 126.5
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