Toledo Rockets vs. Michigan Wolverines Free Pick - Odds - Expert Preview
Date:
March 14, 7:00 pm
Location:
Crisler Center
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Michigan -6
Total:
163
Game Information:
On March 14, 2023, the Toledo Rockets (27-7) will face off against the Michigan Wolverines (17-15) at the Crisler Center. The point spread for this game favors the Wolverines at -6, while the Rockets are the underdogs at +6. The total has been set at 163.
Last Game:
In their last five games, the Toledo Rockets have been on a roll, winning four of their last five games. However, their most recent game was a loss against Kent State, where they scored 78 points but conceded 93. Prior to that, they had beaten Ohio, M-OH, Ball State, and Central Michigan.
On the other hand, the Michigan Wolverines have not been in the best form lately, winning only two of their last five games. In their most recent game, they lost to Rutgers by a score of 50-62. Before that, they lost to Indiana and Illinois but managed to beat Wisconsin and Rutgers.
Power Stats:
Let's take a closer look at the power stats to determine which team has the advantage in different categories.
Assists Turnovers:
When it comes to assists and turnovers, Toledo has an advantage over Michigan with a ratio of 1.49 compared to Michigan's 1.19. Toledo's better assist-to-turnover ratio suggests they are better at ball handling and playmaking, which could lead to more scoring opportunities.
Rebounding:
In terms of rebounding, Michigan has a slight advantage, with a total of 36.57 compared to Toledo's 34.21. Michigan's ability to grab more rebounds could lead to more second-chance points and limit Toledo's scoring opportunities.
Shooting Percentage:
Toledo has a higher shooting percentage at 49.66, while Michigan has a shooting percentage of 44.7. Toledo's better shooting percentage suggests they are more efficient at scoring, which could be a factor in determining the outcome of the game.
Key Offensive Stats:
Toledo has a higher offensive efficiency rating of 1.178 compared to Michigan's 1.039. This suggests that Toledo is more effective at scoring points and generating offense. The Rockets' higher offensive efficiency rating could be an advantage for them in this matchup.
Key Defensive Stats:
On the defensive end, Michigan has a better rating of 0.987 compared to Toledo's 1.055. This suggests that Michigan is better at preventing the opposition from scoring points. Michigan's better defensive rating could be a factor in stopping Toledo's offense and limiting their scoring opportunities.
Betting Odds Trends:
Let's take a closer look at the betting odds trends for both teams.
Michigan Wolverines:
Michigan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home and 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home. Additionally, the total has gone OVER in five of their last seven games at home. These trends suggest that Michigan has a strong home record and has performed well in front of its home crowd.
Toledo Rockets:
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last five games on the road, and the total has gone OVER in four of its last five games on the road. These trends suggest that Toledo has a strong record on the road and has performed well away from home.
Injuries:
Both teams are currently injury-free, which bodes well for both teams as they head into this matchup.
Toledo at Michigan Pick ATS - 03/14/23
I'm not going to call for the outright upset, but I think Toledo gets the cover here. Toledo has been on a hot streak lately, winning four of their last five games, and their offensive efficiency rating is higher than Michigan's. Additionally, Toledo has been performing well on the road, winning their last five games true road games. While Michigan has the advantage in rebounding, Toledo's higher shooting percentage and better assist-to-turnover ratio give them the edge in this matchup. Toledo's offense has been strong throughout the season, and they have been able to score points efficiently. They have a higher shooting percentage than Michigan, which suggests that they are better at making shots and scoring points. This could be an advantage for Toledo in the game. Moreover, Toledo has a higher offensive efficiency rating, which indicates that they are more effective at generating offense. This could help Toledo to score points even against a good defensive team like Michigan. Michigan's defense has been solid this season, and they have been able to limit the opposition's scoring. They have a better defensive efficiency rating than Toledo, which suggests that they are better at preventing the opposition from scoring points. This could help Michigan to limit Toledo's scoring opportunities and keep the game close, but the six points are the key here.
Free Pick:
Take Toledo +6
