Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Free NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis

Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Free NCAAB Pick - Odds Analysis

Rich Crew
Date: March 2, 6:30 pm
Location: Madison Square Garden
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Ohio State -4.5
Total: 136

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The Penn State Nittany Lions (20-12) face the 13th ranked Ohio State Buckeyes (24-7) in the quarterfinals of the Big 10 conference tournament at Madison Square Garden in New York, NY on Friday, March 2, 2018, at 6:30 PM ET. The Buckeyes find themselves in the favorite role laying 4.5 points to the Nittany Lions with the total on the college board at 136.
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In their latest that came in the first round of the Big 10 tournament, Penn State beat Northwestern 65-57 getting the “W” and the money as a -5 favorite on the point spread line. The 122 points scored fell UNDER the 132 point closing line. In the match, Tony Carr was the top scorer for the Nittany Lions picking up 25 points on 8 of 20 shooting hitting six of his ten three-pointers and three starters on the team went for at least 12 points. Dererk Pardon was the high scorer for the Wildcats with 14 points on 6 of 11 shooting and also had eight rebounds and only two players on the club went for double figures. For the game, Penn State shot a putrid 36.1% from the floor but was golden from three-point land hitting on 13 of 29 attempts, and the Wildcats shot 40.4%. The Nittany Lions snapped their three-game losing streak with the win over Northwestern and lifted their neutral site record to 2-1 on the season.
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Ohio State had a bye in the first round of the conference tournament and their last game of the regular season; they were on the road where they beat Indiana 80-78 in double-overtime. They failed to cover the spread in that game as a -2.5 betting line favorite and the double overtime helped to send this game OVER the 139 point line. In the match, Keita Bates-Diop led the Buckeyes going for a double-double scoring 24 points on 9 of 24 shooting with 14 rebounds and every starter on the team picked up at least 12 points. Juwan Morgan was the high scorer for the Hoosiers with 18 points on 6 of 13 shooting and added seven rebounds. For the game, Ohio State shot 47.8% from the floor and Indiana shot 44.6%. After losing two in a row, Ohio State has won their last two games, finishing the Big Ten schedule at 15-3. On the season the Buckeyes are just 2-3 in neutral site games.
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Penn State ranks 139th in the nation in ppg and 45th in opponents’ ppg, and Ohio State ranks 110th in ppg and 42nd in opponents’ ppg.
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This season Penn State beat Ohio State twice.
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This season Penn State is 15-12-1 ATS with an O/U record of 13-15 and Ohio State is 15-14 ATS with an O/U record of 9-20.
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><b><span style="color:#008000;">Get more details:</span></b> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/matchup/963256"&gt; Penn State at Ohio State Match-Up</a></span>
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SAGARIN RATINGS<br />
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Penn State: 83.19<br />
Ohio State: 86.14
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INJURY REPORT<br />
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<b>PENN STATE</b>
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[F] 03/01/2018 - Mike Watkins is out indefinitely ( Knee )
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<b>OHIO STATE </b>
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NONE
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Penn State at Buckeyes NCAAB Key Betting Trends<br />
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PSU is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games
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PSU is 5-1 ATS in their previous six games after a straight up win
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PSU has an Over record of 13-3 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning % above .600.
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OSU is 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record
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OSU is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win
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OSU has an Under record of 21-9 in their previous 30 games
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<span style="font-size:16px;"><strong><span style="color:#008000;">Search for the best odds:</span></strong> <a class="advblue" href="https://www.sportsbettingstats.com/ncaab/odds">Live College Basketball Lines</a></span>
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Penn State vs. Ohio State Prediction 3/2/2018

Look, I thought that the Nittany Lions could put up some points against Northwestern, and while they did put up 65 their FG% was an underwhelming 36.1%. If Tony Carr didn’t step up for 25 points sinking six of ten from behind the arc this team wouldn’t have broken 60 points. In the previous meeting, the two teams combined for 136 points in a 79-56 beat down by Penn State and Carr once again was the key player with 30 points. The difference in this go around is the absence of Mike Watkins who while he only picked up 11 points, he was vital around the rim picking up four offensive boards and added three assists. Without Watkins, in the lineup, they just don't move the ball around with the same effectiveness. Getting back to Ohio State the Buckeyes struggled mightily against PSU in the previous meeting putting up 56 points, and they've been in a scoring slump over their last four scoring 63 or fewer in three of the four. I don't think they’ll correct that issue this time around and the week off may have them come up flat. Keep in mind that with the extended break Ohio State will have had a ton of time to scheme for Carr.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 136
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