Murray State Racers at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Free Pick - Odds - ATS Prediction
Date:
February 23, 7:30 pm
Location:
Cape Girardeau
TV:
ESPN3
Betting Odds
Point Spread:
Murray State -1.5
Total:
156.5
<p>
The Murray State Racers and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks will meet again in a pivotal Ohio Valley Conference feud set with a scheduled 7:30 PM tip-off. The game will be broadcasted on the OVC Network. The Racers and Redhawks met earlier this season at Murray State’s house where the Redhawks would emerge triumphant when they defeated Murray State by a point despite entering the game as an 8.5-point underdog. Overall, Murray State has been the more dominant team in this series as of late but Southeast Missouri State has been the more economical selection in against the spread markets.
</p>
<h2>
Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records<br />
</h2>
<p>
Murray State Racers, 14-14 SU, 11-14 ATS<br />
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, 13-6 SU, 13-11 ATS
</p>
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<h2>
Murray State at Southeast Missouri Key Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Murray State is 3-9 SU on the road this season.
</li>
<li>
Over is 7-1 in the last 8 contests.
</li>
<li>
Southeast Missouri State is 6-2 ATS in their previous eight against Murray State.
</li>
<li>
Southeast Missouri State is 9-3 SU at home this season.
</li>
</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
Currently 75% of the public like Murray State against the spread. The market has moved by 3 points in some markets reflecting the money has rolled in along with the Racers. As a result the Racers are now the favorite despite opening as the underdog. In Over/Under markets, the line has moved by 1.5 points due to heavy action on the Over. The number is now at 156.5, despite an initial offering of 155.
</p>
Murray State Racers at Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Prediction
History has illustrated that Murray State has been the overvalued team in this series. As mentioned in our analysis, in the previous eight meetings the Redhawks are 6-2 ATS. Furthermore, in five of these situations, they were the underdog. Murray State has spotted some inflated numbers to the Redhawks but this could be by virtue of the fact not many have ever heard of Southeast Missouri State. Despite a lack of faith in the Redhawks, Southeast Missouri State has orchestrated two outright upsets as an underdog against Murray State. First, as a 10-point road underdog in 2013 and they did so yet again this season in January as we had already mentioned. Given the trending tendency of this team to be an undervalued and very potent underdog combined with a clear cut case of home court advantage working in their favor, the Redhawks once again offer immense upside and value. When it is factored in that the Redhawks are more efficient in shot selection, play better defense and own a deeper bench, all the variables indicate that they are ready to pull off yet another upset. Additionally, we will lay the Over and take the Under contrary to popular perception as the Redhawks’ defense can likely dictate the pace and tempo of this contest as they did earlier this season in the previous meeting.
Free Pick:
Take Southeast Missouri State +1.5 and Under 156.5
