Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds - ATS Prediction

Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels Free Pick - Betting Odds - ATS Prediction

Cliff Knox
Date: February 22, 9:00 pm
Location: Dean Smith Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds

Point Spread: North Carolna-6
Total: 153

<p>
The 8th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels host the 7th ranked Louisville Cardinals in an ACC game that will take place at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina at 9 PM ET. The consensus betting odds shows UNC as a -5.5 point spread favorite over Louisville with a total line on the boad at 153.
</p>
<p>
Louisville is coming off a 94-90 win over Virginia Tech in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 12.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 184, which was well over the closing line of 144.5. The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games and in six of their last seven games, including their last five, the total has gone over. Louisville has won three in row and six of their last seven games.
</p>
<p>
North Carolina is coming off a 65-41 blowout win over a ranked Virginia team where they covered 6-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 106, which was well under the closing line of 135. The Tar Heels have covered the spread in their last two games after failing to do so in four straight games and in their last seven games they have an over/under record of 1-5-1.
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<p>
Offensively, Louisville is putting up 77.8 points per game on a 45.2% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Cardinals are allowing 64.1 points per game on a 39.3% FG average, which ranks 13th in the nation.
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<p>
North Carolina is putting up 86.9 points per game, which ranks 6th in the nation, on a 47.4% FG average. On defense the Tar Heels are allowing 71 points per game on a 42% FG average.
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<p>
Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which took place at Louisville, the Cardinals beat the Tar Heels 71-65.
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<h2>
Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends<br />
</h2>
<ul>
<li>
Louisville is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
</li>
<li>
The Cardinals are 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games against the Tar Heels.
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<li>
The game total has gone over in 4 of Louisville’s last 5 road games.
</li>
<li>
North Carolina is 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
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<li>
The Tar Heels are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games at home against the Cardinals.
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</ul>
<h2>
Public Money Consensus<br />
</h2>
<p>
In this NCAAB matchup between Louisville and North Carolina have the public leaning slightly to the Cardinals getting the 6 points with just under 55%. The over/under bettors are more heavily on this game going over the posted total line of 153 with over 75% on board.
</p>

Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

UNC is 14-0 at home this season outscoring opponents by an average score of 88.2 to 64.9. Half of those victories came against ACC teams where they were a solid 5-2 versus the betting line. Louisville does have a positive conference road record going 4-3 straight up and 4-2-1 ATS in seven contests. The key angle here is that the Cardinals when facing top level teams from the ACC they are 0-3 with a 2-0-1 point spread record.

Free Pick: Take North Carolina -4
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