Iowa State Cyclones vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Virginia Cavaliers Betting Odds - Point Spread Pick

Cliff Knox
Date: March 25, 7:10 pm
Location: Honda Center
TV: TBS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Virginia -6
Total: 140.5

<p>No. 22 Iowa State Cyclones vs. No. 4 Virginia Cavaliers at the United Center in Chicago, Illinois. The tipoff for this match is scheduled for 7:10 PM on 3/25/16. The betting line for this Sweet 16 game opened with Virginia -5, but bettors have moved the point spread to -6/-6.5 at most sports betting outlets.
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<p>Iowa State moved to 23-11 on the season with a 78-61 win over Arkansas Little Rock in their last game and they are at 17-13-1 ATS after covering as a 5.5-point favorite. The Cyclones have covered the spread in five of their last six games including their last four. The total for the Arkansas Little Rock game went UNDER, which has been the winning bet for Iowa State in two of their last three games.
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<p>In their last game Virginia moved to 28-7 on the season with a 77-69 win over Butler and they are at 18-14-1 ATS after the game was a PICK. Before the Butler game the Cavaliers had covered the spread in six of their previous seven games. The total for the Butler game went OVER while the previous two games for Virginia went UNDER.
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<p>These teams met last in the 2010 season and at that game at a neutral site Iowa State beat Virginia 60-47, covered the spread, and the total went UNDER.
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<p>Iowa State ranks 15th in the nation averaging 81.8 PPG and tied for 257th giving up an average of 75 PPG. The Cyclones had lost their last two games of the season before winning their first two in the Big Dance. In their last NCAA Tournament game against Arkansas Little Rock they were solid on both ends of the floor with a FG% of 56.6% and holding the Trojans to a FG% of 37%.
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<p>Virginia ranks 247th in the nation in scoring (70.4 PPG) and 2nd in opponents' points allowed (59.7 PPG). In the win over Butler in the last round of the NCAA Tournament the Cavaliers outscored Butler by 10-points in the 2nd half and for the game they shot a FG% of 55.8% and Butler shot a FG% of 46.3%.
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<div class="heading">Sagarin Ranking</div>
<p>Iowa State: 87.39<br><br />
Virginia: 92.43</p>
<div class="heading">Betting Trends to Consider</div>
<ul>
<li>ISU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.</li>
<li>ISU is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.</li>
<li>ISU has an Under record of 10-3 in their last 13 neutral site games.</li>
<li>UVA is 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.</li>
<li>UVA is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.</li>
<li>UVA has an Under record of 12-3 in their last 15 games.</li>
</ul>
<p>On the season Iowa State has an O/U record of 14-16-1 and Virginia has an O/U record of 13-20. </p>
<p>This season in games held at a neutral site Iowa State is 5-2 and Virginia is 8-1. </p>

Iowa State Cyclones vs. Virginia Cavaliers Prediction

Both teams have a high 3-point shooting average and have proven that on most nights they can do a better than adequate job defending the three. The Cavs' really slow the game down limiting opponents' opportunities and rarely turn the ball over to rank No. 2 in the nation in scoring defense with 59.5 points per game allowed. In two of Virginia's last three games they took on two teams in the top 20 ranked scoring offenses prior to the game. UNC scored 61 over 20 points fewer than their season average and Butler put up 69 which was 9.5 points lower than their average. My numbers put this game in the mid 130's.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 140.5
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