Baylor Bears vs. Xavier Musketeers Odds - Free Pick 11/28/2017

Baylor Bears vs. Xavier Musketeers Odds - Free Pick 11/28/2017

Cliff Knox
Date: November 28, 6:30 pm
Location: Cintas Center
TV: Local

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Xavier -4.5
Total: 143.5

<p>
The 21st ranked Xavier Musketeers (5-1) host the 16th ranked Baylor Bears (5-0) in a non-conference game that will take place at the Cintas Center in Cincinnati, Ohio at 6:30 PM ET. Xavier are the 4.5-point favorite with a total offered up at 143.5.
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<p>
In their last game Baylor beat a tough Creighton teaM 65-59 in the Hall of Fame Classic championship game. King McClure was the high scorer for the Bears picking up 19 points on 7/11 shooting and two other Baylor players had 15 points. Khyri Thomas was the high scorer for Creighton with 15 points on only 5/14 shooting and he also missed eight of his 10 3-pointers. After being outscored by nine points in the first half the Bears stormed back in the 2nd half outscoring Creighton by 15 points. For the game Baylor shot 46.2% from the floor and they held Creighton to 34.4% and one of the reasons the game was close was that the Bears had 16 turnovers while Creighton only had nine. Baylor covered the spread in the game as a 1-point favorite with the total going Under. This will be the Bears first road game of the season.
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<p>
Xavier is coming off their first loss of the season falling to Arizona State 102-86 in the Las Vegas Invitational. J.P. Macura was the high scorer for the Musketeers with 23 points on 7/11 shooting and he hit on three of his six 3-pointers. Shannon Evans II was the high scorer for the Sun Devils with 22 points on 7/14 shooting and he hit on four of his eight 3-pointers. Xavier was outscored by 18 points in the 2nd half and for the game they shot 55.6% from the floor and ASU shot 55.9%. The Musketeers failed to cover the spread as a 6.5-point favorite and the total went Over. Xavier is 3-0 at home this season
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<p>
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<p>
Baylor ranks tied for 144th in the nation in ppg and 16th in opponents’ ppg and Xavier ranks 16th in ppg and tied for 145th in opponents’ ppg.
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<p>
These teams met last season at Baylor where the Bears beat the Musketeers 76-61.
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<p>
This season Baylor is 2-0 ATS with an O/U record of 0-1-1 and Xavier is 5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 5-1.
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<h2>
SAGARIN RATINGS<br />
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<p>
Baylor: 88.32<br />
Xavier: 88.35
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<h2>
INJURY REPORT<br />
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<p>
BAYLOR<br />
[F] 11/13/2017 - Leonard Allen is out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )<br />
[G] 11/13/2017 - Tyson Jolly is out indefinitely ( Undisclosed )
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<p>
XAVIER<br />
NONE
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<h2>
Key Betting Trends<br />
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<ul>
<li>
BAY is 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 road games
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<li>
BAY is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games
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<li>
BAY has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 road games
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<li>
AV is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games
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<li>
XAV is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games
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<li>
XAV has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games
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</ul>

Baylor Bears vs. Xavier Musketeers Prediction Nov/28/17

The Bears defense has been outstanding holding their opponents to 59.4 points on 38.3 shooting this season. The Musketeers numbers are good for the most part as well, but the big difference is that in their only two games against top flight competition they allowed 102 points to Arizona State (season high) and 70 to Wisconsin. Baylor held the same Wisconsin team to just 60 and held the Bluejays who has averaged 92 points in the other matches this season to 59 points. I’ll ride the better defense on paper getting points on the road.

 

Free Pick: Take the Baylor Bears +4.5 (CK)
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