Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks Odds Analysis - Free Pick to Bet

Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks Odds Analysis - Free Pick to Bet

Cliff Knox
Date: February 4, 4:00 pm
Location: Matthew Knight Arena
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Oregon -3
Total: 138

<p>The 13th ranked Oregon Ducks host the 5th ranked Arizona Wildcats in a Pac 12 game that will take place at the Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon at 4 PM ET. Arizona has won 21 of their 23 games on the season and they have an ATS record of 12-9-2. Oregon has won 20 of their 23 games this season and they have covered the spread in 12 of the 22 games that have had a posted line.
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<p>Arizona is coming off a 71-54 win over Oregon State in their last game where they covered the 15.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 125, which was under the closing line of 131.5. Previous to the Oregon State game the Wildcats had failed to cover the spread in two straight games and in four of their last five games, including their last three, the total has gone under. Overall, Arizona has won 15 straight games.
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<p>Oregon is coming off a 71-70 win over Arizona State in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 17.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 141, which was under the closing line of 153.5. Oregon has failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in eight straight games and in five of their last six games, including their last four, the total has gone under. Previous to the win over Arizona State, Oregon had their 17-game win streak snapped with a loss to Colorado.
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<p>Offensively, Arizona is putting up 76 points per game on a 47.7% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Wildcats are allowing 62.7 points per game, which ranks 16th in the nation, on a 40.1% FG average.
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<p>Oregon is putting up 78.6 points per game on a 47.6% FG average. On defense the Ducks are allowing 63.7 points per game on a 39.2% FG average, which ranks 15th in the nation.
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<p>Last season Oregon got the bettere of Arizona winning both matches straight up and versus the betting line.
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<h2>Betting Trends</h2>
<ul>
<li>The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games</li>
<li>Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road</li>
<li>Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Oregon</li>
<li>The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon.</li>
<li>The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon's last 6 games</li>
<li>Oregon is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home</li>
<li>The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games at home.</li>
<li>Oregon is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona</li>
</ul>

Arizona Wildcats vs. Oregon Ducks Prediction 2/4/2017

This has the makings of a great game, but from a betting perspective making a strong argument for either side versus the spread requires a manipulation of the metrics. So I'm going to play the total. Both clubs have been playing elite defense with Arizona holding opponents to 63.2 points on 38.2 FG% shooting on the road  and Oregon holding the opposition to 62.7 FG% on 37.4 FG% shooting at home. We could see a scoring outburt similar to Arizona's road game against UCLA (181 combined points), but the probabilty is low. 

 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 138
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